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Orlando City SC welcomes Atlanta United FC to Inter & Co Stadium Saturday for a Western Conference semifinal battle Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (Apply TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
Atlanta United finished 9th in the Eastern Conference and had a -3 goal differential throughout the regular season, ending with 46 goals for and 49 against. United beat CF Montreal 2-2 (5-4 penalty kicks) in the Wild Card round and then upset No. 1 seed Inter Miami, winning 2 of 3 games and outscoring Inter 6-5. Atlanta is 4-1-1 in its last 6 matches.
Orlando City finished the regular season with a 15-7-12 record and a +9 goal differential, netting 59. It finished 4th in the conference. Orlando City was on fire to end the regular season, going 6-0-2 down the stretch. It went 1-2-0 in its 3 Round One games with Charlotte FC, losing in penalty on the road in the second match then winning in penalties at home to close the series.
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Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 2:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orlando City SC -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Atlanta United +455 (bet $100 to win $455) | Draw +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -190 | U: +130)
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Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC picks and predictions
Prediction
Orlando City SC 2, Atlanta United 2
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+350).
Orlando City lost 2-1 at home to Atlanta United in the final match of the regular season, and it drew Charlotte in back-to-back matches in Round One, ending 0.9 more expected goals through both those matches. The home side didn’t perform at a high level at home for most of the season and actually scored more points on the road.
Atlanta United has been rolling, and in the playoffs that seems to be the most important part. It has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of its last 6 matches and is 4-4-2 in its last 10, so it has drawn consistently as of late.
With that in mind for both sides and the value on the tie, back DRAW (+350).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER ALTERNATE 3.5 (+145).
Atlanta has a dynamic offense and has a reeling defense. It has scored at least 2 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches and has scored at least once in all 10. Defensively, it has allowed at least 2 goals in 6 of those 10 matches and has given up at least 1.5 expected goals in 5 straight.
Orlando netted 1.74 goals per game during the regular season and has tallied at least 3 goals in 3 of its last 8 matches. It has had at least 2.1 expected goals 3times in its last 6 games. Orlando has a strong offense while Atlanta’s defense hasn’t lived up to par as of late.
Put those together and take the adjusted OVER 3.5 (+145).
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