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The No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (11-2, 3-0 ACC) and the SMU Mustangs (11-2, 2-0) meet Saturday at Moody Coliseum in Dallas. Tip-off is set for 2:15 p.m. ET (The CW Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Duke vs. SMU odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Blue Devils have won 7 in a row since a 75-72 loss to Kansas Nov. 26. Duke is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, while the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 outings. The total has gone low at a 9-2 clip in the previous 11 contests, too.
Duke ranks No. 7 in the nation with just 59.0 points per game (PPG) allowed, while limiting teams to 36.3% shooting from the field and 29.3% from behind the 3-point line.
For the Mustangs, they’ve also won 7 consecutive games since an 84-79 loss to Mississippi State on Nov. 22. SMU has covered 5 of the past 6 games, while the Over has slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 outings.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Duke at SMU odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Duke -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | SMU +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
- Against the spread: Duke -7.5 (-115) | SMU +7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 149.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Duke at SMU picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 83, SMU 73
Moneyline
Duke (-350) will set you back 3 1/2 times your potential return, which is just a little too expensive for standalone wager or part of a multi-leg parlay.
PASS.
Against the spread
DUKE -7.5 (-120) is worth backing for this road game against SMU +7.5 (+100). It is the first high-profile game in the ACC for the Mustangs.
SMU has picked up wins over Virginia at home, and Boston College on the road, but those aren’t top-10 teams. In the most previous test, SMU was tripped up by 5 points against Mississippi State on Nov. 22. Expect more of the same, as the Mustangs are a good team, but not a great one.
Over/Under
OVER 149.5 (-105) is a strong play in this ACC marquee matchup.
SMU has ticked off a pair of Over results in the past 2 games, averaging 100.5 PPG in those outings. That’s not going to happen against a Duke defense which allows just 59.0 PPG, but SMU will still be able to exceed those numbers.
The Blue Devils cashed high last time out, and the offense is averaging 85.0 PPG in the past 2 conference tilts. Look for plenty of offense on Saturday.
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