Duke at NC State odds, picks and predictions

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The No. 10 Duke Blue Devils (23-6, 14-4 ACC) head to Raleigh to take on the NC State Wolfpack (17-12, 9-9 ACC) Monday night. Tipoff at PNC Arena is set for 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. NC State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

This is the 1st and only regular season meeting between these schools. Last year, NC State whooped Duke 84-60 at home, a game that is on C Kyle Filipowski’s mind as the Blue Devils “don’t want to be embarrassed like that again.”

Duke coasted to a 73-48 victory over Virginia at home in their last game, cashing easily as a 10-point favorite. In 7 of their last 8 games, Duke has covered ATS and the game has gone Under the total. The only outlier was the 83-79 loss to Wake Forest, which went Over the 150.5 total with the Demon Deacons covering the 3 points they were laying.

NC State has lost 3 of their last 4 games. Although, they were able to cover the 10-point spread against No. 9 UNC this past Saturday in Chapel Hill. The Wolfpack fell 79-70, blowing an 8-point halftime lead by shooting a paltry 22% from the field in the 2nd half.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Duke at NC State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Duke -255 (bet $255 to win $100) | NC State +205 (bet $100 to win $205)
Against the spread (ATS): Duke -5.5 (-118) | NC State +5.5 (-104)
Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Duke at NC State picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 77, NC State 70

Moneyline

G Tyrese Proctor went 6-for-8 from the field in the 25-point win over UVA, but coach Jon Scheyer was quick to point out the sophomore’s defensive prowess as he limited UVA’s top 3-point shooter Isaac McKneely. Expect the same intensity from the 2-way guard as he defends the Wolfpack scoring threats.

Pairing the Blue Devils (-255) with Baylor (-280) at home vs. Texas comes out to -114.

So PARLAY DUKE ML +BAYLOR ML (-114).

Against the spread

PASS.

Lean would be Duke, but it’s senior night at PNC Arena, and the Wolfpack have won 3 of the last 4 matchups against the Blue Devils in Raleigh.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 149.5 (-115).

North Carolina is the only ACC school that has surrendered fewer points in their last 3 games (61.7 average) than Duke (63.3). In those contests against Wake Forest, Louisville and UVA respectively, Duke averaged 64.4 possessions per game. Only 17 D1 schools out of 362 played at a slower pace during that stretch. The Blue Devils are also the worst free-throw shooting team in the conference (69.6%).

For NC State, F DJ Burns Jr., who averages 11.6 points per game, has just 6 in his last 2 outings combined. Wolfpack coach Kevin Keatts mentioned after the loss to UNC that not having Burns Jr. in the game to facilitate hurt them as the senior dealt with foul trouble. That may be the case once again as Filipowski and F Mark Mitchell will be a handful in the paint.

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