The Detroit Tigers (34-45) and the Texas Rangers (49-31) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday at Globe Life Field in Arlington. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 4-2 after Wednesday’s 10-2 victory
The Tigers have lost the last 2 games, but Detroit actually hasn’t dropped 3 in a row since a 9-game skid from June 2-11. Detroit is just 4-9 in its last 13 games on the road, while going just 1-8 in the last 9 outings against a left-handed starting pitcher.
The Rangers dropped the series opener 7-2 on Monday, but Texas has bounced back to outscore Detroit 18-5 in the last 2 outings. The Over has cashed in each outing, while going 3-0-1 in the last 4 games overall. Texas has won 4 of the last 5 games overall, while going 9-3 in the last 12 outings against AL Central foes.
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Tigers at Rangers projected starters
RHP Reese Olson vs. LHP Jon Gray
Olson (1-2, 4.74 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th overall appearance. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 24 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Minnesota Twins Saturday
- 2023 road splits: 0-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER) with a .143 opponent batting average (OBA) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Gray (6-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 81 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 road loss vs. the New York Yankees Saturday
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 3.79 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 17 ER – 6 HR) with a .243 OBA in 7 starts with 1 complete game
Tigers at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155 ) | Gray -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-125) | Rangers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Tigers at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 7, Tigers 3
Moneyline
The Rangers (-190 ) aren’t attractive on the moneyline at this price, although they’re a good bet against the rookie Olson.
The Tigers (+155 ) have dropped 9 of the last 13 games on the road, and it has been terrible against southpaws, dropping 8 of the last 9 tries against left-handed pitchers.
PASS, and look to the run line instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The RANGERS -1.5 (+105) are a strong play on the run line.
Texas has won the last 2 games as a heavy favorite by an average of 6.5 runs per game. As a favorite, Texas is 6-4 in the last 10 games, while covering the run line in 5 of the past 8 instances when favored.
It is also 4-2 in the 6 meetings with Detroit this season, and Texas has covered the run line in each of those victories, winning by 4 or more runs on each occasion.
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Over/Under
The OVER 9.5 (-115) is the lean in this getaway day game.
The Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games overall for the Tigers, while going 8-2-1 in the last 11 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher. The Over is 9-1-1 in the last 11 games against teams with a winning overall record, too.
The Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 games overall for the Rangers, while cashing at a 20-8-6 clip in the past 34 games at home.
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