[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Cleveland Guardians (59-65) welcome the Detroit Tigers (56-67) to Progressive Field Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 6-3
The Tigers beat the Guardians 4-3 on Saturday after splitting a douleheader on Friday, winning 4-2 in the 1st game before losing 4-1. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 30-34 on the road.
The Guardians have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 4-6 in the last 10. They are 32-30 at home and sit 5 games behind the AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins.
Tigers at Guardians projected starters
LHP Eduardo Rodriguez vs. LHP Logan Allen
Rodriguez (8-6, 3.13 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 106 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 road loss against the Boston Red Sox Sunday
- 2023 road stats: 4-4, 3.41 ERA in 58 IP in 10 starts
Allen (6-5, 3.33 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 K in a 3-0 road win over the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
- 2023 home stats: 2-3, 3.78 ERA in 50 IP in 9 starts
Tigers at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Tigers 3
Moneyline
BET GUARDIANS (-115).
The Guardians have been strong with Allen on the mound this season, posting a 12-6 record in his 18 starts. He has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of his last 8 starts as well.
Cleveland is 35-29 following a loss while Detroit has the 5th-worst win percentage after a win at just 22-33. As a road underdog, the Tigers are just 24-31.
Back GUARDIANS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s just no value on the spread. The Guardians are too expensive to play as an underdog at +1.5 (-200). Similarly, Cleveland has been too good with Allen on the mound to consider the Tigers -1.5 (+165).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).
The Tigers have gone Under in 8 of their last 9 games, including all 3 games in tis series. They have gone Under in Rodriguez’s last 2 starts. Neither team has scored more than 4 runs in a game in the first 3 games of the series.
Cleveland has gone Under in 5 straight games and is 48-71-5 O/U this season. It has gone Under in 10 of its last 13. It is a league-worst 19-42-1 O/U at home.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]