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The Detroit Tigers (50-53) and Cleveland Guardians (61-40) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 5-5
The Tigers were tripped up 2-1 Wednesday, their 2nd consecutive 1-run loss after winning the series opener Monday by an 8-2 count. Detroit has outscored Cleveland 53-37 in the 10-game series to date, despite the fact each team has won 5 times apiece.
The Guardians have picked up consecutive wins for the first time since July 6-7. Cleveland is aiming for a 3rd straight victory, which hasn’t happened since a 7-game win streak June 19-25.
The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games for the Guardians, although the Over is 2-1 in the first 3 games of this series and 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. Meanwhile, the Tigers have hit the Over at a 5-1 pace in the past 6 games while going 9-3 across the past 12 contests.
Tigers at Guardians projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Gavin Williams
The Tigers haven’t named a starting pitcher at the time of publishing.
Williams (0-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 18 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-0 home setback vs. San Diego Padres Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 0-2, 9.39 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.22 WHIP, .361 opponents’ batting average, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
- 2024 vs. Tigers: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 1-0 road loss July 8
- Career vs. Tigers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Tigers at Guardians odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-154) | Guardians -1.5 (+128)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Tigers 3
Moneyline
The Guardians (-178) are a little too expensive for this matinee affair Thursday. Cleveland has won the past 2 games, but only by a single run. It’s been a nail-biter for each of the past 2 outings, and the Guardians lost badly in the series opener.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The TIGERS +1.5 (-154) is a solid play while moderately priced for a run-line underdog.
While Detroit has been on the losing end each of the past 2 games, it has suffered a pair of 1-run losses while covering on the run line.
The Guardians -1.5 (+128) are just 1-8 in the past 9 games on the run line as favorites.
Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look. The teams combined for just 3 runs Wednesday night. The total has ended up going low at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 outings.
Go lightly, however, as the Over is 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 outings for the Guardians, too.
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