Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (49-51) and Cleveland Guardians (59-39) meet Monday to open a 4-game series. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 4-3

Detroit lost 5-4 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday while failing to cover as a +148 road underdog. The loss snapped a 4-game win streak for the Tigers, also marking the end of a 5-game road win streak.

Cleveland lost 2-1 vs. the San Diego Padres Sunday as a -104 home favorite. The Guardians have lost back-to-back games and have scored 1 or fewer runs in their 6 of their last 7 losses.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Skubal (10-3, 2.41 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 116 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 4-3 loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 12
  • Career vs. Cleveland: 1-2, 3.89 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 30 H, 9 BB, 38 K in 7 starts

Carrasco (3-7, 5.02 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 86 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 2-0 loss at Tampa Bay Rays on July 12
  • Career vs. Detroit: 12-9, 3.56 ERA (149 1/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 25 starts and 6 relief appearances

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Guardians -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+164) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Guardians 6

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-102).

Detroit enters as the much hotter squad, being 4-1 in its last 5 games and 7-3 in its last 10 while Cleveland is only 3-7 in its last 10. The Tigers are also 2-1 in their last 3 road games while the Guardians have dropped back-to-back home outings.

The Tigers are 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Cleveland.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Guardians to cover here as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but the line is set far too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in each of Detroit’s last 3 games and is 7-3 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Detroit-Cleveland matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Be aware that the Under has hit in 6 consecutive games for the Guardians.

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