Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Pistons (16-59) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (37-39) Wednesday. Tip from Paycom Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pistons vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pistons and Thunder have played once this season, a 112-103 win for Detroit at home on Nov. 7, covering as a 2-point underdog while the Under 224 hit.

Detroit has lost 17 of its last 18 games. It is coming off a 126-117 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday, covering as an 11.5-point home underdog. The Pistons are just 2-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games and are 31-41-3 ATS on the season.

The Thunder are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 games. They are coming off a 137-134 home loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday, failing to cover as a 10-point favorite. OKC is 5-5 ATS over its last 10, but 0-4 ATS in its last 4. It is 43-30-3 ATS on the season.

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Pistons at Thunder odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pistons +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Thunder -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +11.5 (-115) | Thunder -11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pistons at Thunder key injuries

Pistons

  • C Isaiah Stewart (shoulder) out
  • F Bojan Bogdanovic (achilles) out

Thunder

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pistons at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 115, Pistons 104

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Pistons don’t seem motivated to win, making their (+450) a long shot. The Thunder aren’t worth 6 times the potential return here either.

Against the spread

LEAN PISTONS +11.5 (-115).

This isn’t a position the Thunder have thrived in this season. They are just 2-2 ATS when double-digit favorites this season.

They have also failed to cover 4 straight, including a home loss to one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. OKC has the 12th-best net rating on the season but that drops to 19th after the All-Star break. It hasn’t been playing that well as of late.

Detroit has lost 6 in a row, but it has covered 2 of its last 7 games. It has been a double-digit underdog in its last 6. It ranks 27th in net rating after the All-Star break, so it has been better than its bottom-of-the-East record indicates.

For a small unit, back the PISTONS +11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 231.5 (-105).

The Thunder may want to run, and they rank 5th in pace, but the problem here is the Pistons offense won’t be able to keep up, ranking 21st in pace and dead last in effective field goal percentage since the All-Star break.

The Pistons have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games, failing to top 100 in 4 of their last 6. The Thunder have gone Under in 2 of their last 3 and in 6 of their last 10.

Ultimately, given the Pistons’ shortcomings offensively, back the UNDER 231.5 (-105).

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