Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Pistons (9-51) visit the Miami Heat (34-26) Tuesday night. Tip from Kaseya Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pistons vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 1-0

The Pistons have lost back-to-back games after falling 113-191 at the Orlando Magic Sunday, failing to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. G Evan Fournier scored a team-high 17 points off the bench while 5 Pistons players scored in double figures. Detroit shot 38.4% from the field and 22.2% from 3 in the loss.

The Heat got back in the win column with a 126-120 victory over the Utah Jazz Saturday while failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. F Jimmy Butler scored a game-high 37 points on 12-of-19 shooting while 6 Heat players scored in double figures. Miami shot 52.3% from the field in the win.

In an Oct. 25 meeting, the Pistons covered as 9.5-point underdogs in a 103-102 loss at Miami as the Under (218.5) hit.

Pistons at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pistons +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Heat -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +11.5 (-110) | Heat -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pistons at Heat key injuries

Pistons

  • G Quentin Grimes (knee) doubtful

Heat

  • G Tyler Herro (foot) out
  • C Kevin Love (heel) out
  • G Josh Richardson (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pistons at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 113, Pistons 99

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Heat (-650) to beat a Pistons team that is 5-26 on the road this season.

Against the spread

BET HEAT -11.5 (-110).

The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 8, including back-to-back games overall and 4 of their last 6 as double-digit underdogs. Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games, including 3-1 ATS in its last 4 at home. Against a struggling Detroit team, expect Miami to dominate Tuesday night.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 217.5 (-115).

The Pistons have hit the Over just once in their last 10 games and have hit the Under in 9 straight. They have scored 105 or fewer points in 3 consecutive games and have not scored more than 111 in 9 straight.

Miami has a 23-37 Over record this season and has hit the Under in 7 of its last 10 games, including 2 of its last 3 at home. It has scored 109 or fewer points in 5 of its last 9 games and has held opponents to 110 or fewer in 9 of its last 10.

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