Detroit Pistons at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Pistons at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Pistons (7-29) travel to FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (25-14). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pistons vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies come into this game off a 4-point victory as road underdogs in Cleveland. Memphis is the league’s fourth-best covering team at 24-15 ATS.

The Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the NBA as winners of six straight games. While short-handed, Memphis has a 10.3 average margin of victory. They’ll get a Pistons team at home without their best player.

The Pistons have won two of their last three games, taking down the Milwaukee Bucks and the San Antonio Spurs behind huge performances from G Hamidou Diallo, although they gave up 140 and lost by 29 points at the Charlotte Hornets Wednesday.

Detroit is 17-19 ATS this season.

Pistons at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pistons +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Grizzlies -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +12.5 (-108) | Grizzlies -12.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Pistons at Grizzlies key injuries

Pistons (not officially submitted)

  • Frank Jackson (ankle) questionable
  • Isaiah Stewart (reconditioning) questionable
  • Cory Joseph (reconditioning) questionable

Grizzlies

  • F Dillon Brooks (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • G Desmond Bane (quad) doubtful
  • F Kyle Anderson (back) doubtful
  • De’Anthony Melton (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • Xavier Tillman (health and safety protocols) out
  • John Konchar (health and safety protocols) out

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Pistons at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Pistons 103

Money line

PASS on the money line. I like the surging Grizzlies but their -1000 line doesn’t have any value. Similarly, there is little value with the Pistons (+600) as they are one of the least efficient teams in the league.

Against the spread

BET on the GRIZZLIES -12.5 (-112).

Memphis has been absolutely rocking lately. The Grizzlies have the fifth-best offensive rating and 15th-best defensive rating and are one of only a handful of teams that are top 15 on both sides of the court.

The Pistons have the third-worst turnover rate and second-worst true shooting percentage. They’re young and inefficient. The key difference will be in the rebounding.

The Griz rank first in offensive rebounding while the Pistons rank 20th in defensive rebounding. Memphis should eat Detroit alive on the boards, and those extra opportunities should help them build and keep a lead.

Expect a big-time win from Memphis. It’s covered all six spreads on its current six-game win streak.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 217.5 (-115).

Detroit actually hits overs at the seventh-highest rate in the league at 19-17 O/U. The Pistons are inexperienced but they do have some talented scorers and put up 111 against Charlotte Wednesday.

The Grizzlies defense also isn’t great at limiting opponents as evidenced by the 17th-best opponents’ field goal percentage. However, they do force turnovers at the fifth-highest rate in the NBA.

Against a turnover-prone team, the Grizzlies should be able to push the pace and dominate the glass. There’s no reason the Over shouldn’t hit if those factors come to life.

Lastly, both teams rank in the top half of the league in pace.

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