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The New Orleans Pelicans (5-24) welcome the Denver Nuggets (14-11) to Smoothie King Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pelicans lead 1-0 with 101-94 win at home Nov. 15
The Pelicans have lost 6 games in a row after a 104-93 loss at home against the New York Knicks Saturday, closing as an 8-point underdog. They were led by F Trey Murphy III, who scored 26 points. New Orleans is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 and 10-19 ATS on the season.
The Nuggets lost to the Portland Trail Blazers 126-124 Thursday, closing as an 8-point road favorite. C Nikola Jokic scored a team-high 34 points on 13-for-18 shooting. Denver has won 3 of its last 4 games, but is just 3-5 ATS in its last 8. It is 10-14-1 ATS on the season.
Nuggets at Pelicans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Pelicans +333 (bet $100 to win $333)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -9.5 (-110) | Pelicans +9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Nuggets at Pelicans key injuries
Nuggets
- G Christian Braun (back) probable
- F Dario Saric (ankle) doubtful
Pelicans
- G Jose Alvarado (hamstring) out
- F Brandon Ingram (ankle) out
- F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Pelicans picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 121, Pelicans 114
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets are a sizable favorite and are too expensive to play to win outright. Similarly, the Pelicans have played too poorly to consider here as a hefty underdog. Avoid this play.
Against the spread
BET PELICANS +9.5 (-110).
The Nuggets haven’t covered as well as of late and have struggled ATS on the road this season. They are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games, going 6-8 ATS in away games this season. Denver’s defense has been atrocious, allowing at least 122 points in 4 of its last 6 games, so it might not be able to pull away by a margin of this size.
The Pelicans have lost 5 straight, but have lost 3 of those by a margin of this size or fewer. New Orleans has scored at least 109 points in 6 of its last 8 games. Take PELICANS +9.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 231.5 (-115).
Neither team has played much defense over the last few weeks. The Pelicans are 5-3 O/U in their last 8, allowing at least 119 points in 6 of those performances.
The Nuggets, who are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games, have allowed 127.5 points per game over their last 2. They are 16-8-1 O/U on the season. Back OVER 231.5 (-115).
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