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The Denver Nuggets (47-21) take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-21) Tuesday with tip-off from Target Center set for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: T-Wolves lead 1-0
The Nuggets were victimized by a Kyrie Irving buzzer-beater to fall 107-105 to the Dallas Mavericks Sunday. The loss snapped a 5-game winning streak. C Nikola Jokic had a bit of a quiet game with 16 points, 11 boards and 7 assists. The fact that line is a quiet game for the Joker shows just how dominant he has been.
The Wolves have won 3 straight after a 114-104 W over the Utah Jazz Monday. The win closed out a 4-2 road trip spanning 11 days. G Anthony Edwards had 32 points, 8 boards and 7 assists. Since F Karl-Anthony Towns went down March 4, Ant-Man is averaging 31.3 PPG, 7.2 RPG and 4.8 APG.
The Nuggets and T-Wolves are tied for 2nd in the West and sit a half-game behind the Oklahoma City Thunder. This is a pivotal matchup, but they will play 2 more times before the end of the season.
Nuggets at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Timberwolves +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -7.5 (-105) | Timberwolves +7.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Timberwolves
(Not yet submitted — below was for Monday’s game)
- C Rudy Gobert (ribs) out
- F Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Timberwolves and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 112, Timberwolves 108
Moneyline
This spread is heavily leaned toward the Nuggets because the Wolves are on a back-to-back. Minnesota is 7-3 in back-to-back scenarios this season. The T-Wolves won the only matchup this season, which was at home, 110-89. They’ll have to find a way to replace KAT’s 21 points, but the biggest key for me is locking down F Michael Porter Jr., who is coming into his own after years of back issues stunting his growth in the league. He’s averaging 18.8 PPG and shooting 47.3% from distance this month.
Because MPJ is producing at this rate, and because the Wolves are without KAT, I can’t get over the hump to pick the Wolves here — despite the value. Instead, take MICHAEL PORTER JR. OVER 16.5 POINTS (-105). He has dropped 17 in 7 of his last 9 games.
Against the spread
The spread swelled to 7.5 Tuesday morning without much alteration to the moneyline. That’s too wide of a margin unless Gobert is unable to go. He has missed 2 games with a rib injury, but I would lean toward him going in this important tilt.
Take the TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Wolves are 6-4 O/U over the last 10, and Denver is 4-6. The Over is 5-3-2 in the last 10 meetings between the teams. The T-Wolves have gone over 100 points in 7 straight, and they went over 109 in 6 of them. As long as 1 team hits 110, this OVER 213.5 (-105) should cash.
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