Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (1-0) face the Memphis Grizzlies (0-1) on Friday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Nuggets won last season’s series 2-1

The Nuggets cruised to a 119-107 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on opening night, covering as 5-point home favorites, and the Under (229.5) also hit. C Nikola Jokic led the way for Denver against Los Angeles, recording 29 points, 13 rebounds, and 11 assists.

The Grizzlies failed to cover as 1-point home favorites and the Under (224) cleared in their 111-104 defeat to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Memphis is going to need time to adjust to not having G Ja Morant or C Steven Adams available in the starting lineup.

Nuggets at Grizzlies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Grizzlies +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -5.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Grizzlies key injuries

Nuggets

  • None

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (knee) out
  • F Santi Aldama (ankle) out
  • F Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
  • G Luke Kennard (concussion) out
  • G Ja Morant (suspension) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Grizzlies 107

Moneyline

While the Nuggets are favored to beat a shorthanded Grizzlies team on the road, I’ll PASS on their moneyline in this game. Backing a team at -210 odds isn’t worth the risk given the minimal return you’ll receive if they win.

Against the spread

NUGGETS -5.5 (-110) is the ideal play in this matchup as the defending champions are fully healthy early in the season. The Grizzlies will struggle to slow down Jokic without Adams on the floor, and the Nuggets still boast one of the deepest rosters in the league.

The Nuggets have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings against the Grizzlies.

Over/Under

With the Grizzlies missing a few key pieces, UNDER 223.5 (-110) is the lean in this contest. The Nuggets are still playing at 1 of the slowest paces in the NBA (tied for slowest pace after 1 game) and they limited the Lakers to only 107 points on opening night.

Both of these teams hit the Under in their 1st games of the season. Also, the Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between Denver and Memphis.

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