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The Dallas Stars visit the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Monday. The Golden Knights lead the series 2-1. Puck drop from T-Mobile Arena is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Golden Knights odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Dallas won its 1st game of the series 3-2 in overtime Saturday to cash as a -111 road favorite. C Wyatt Johnson led the way on offense with 2 goals, including the game-winner, while D Miro Heiskanen added a goal and an assist.
Vegas snapped its 2-game winning streak with Saturday’s loss, failing to cash as a +100 home underdog. After going down 2-0, Vegas evened the score with two 2nd-period goals. D Alec Martinez found the back of the net and had an assist, while C Jack Eichel also had a goal.
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Stars at Golden Knights odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Stars -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Golden Knights +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+190) | Golden Knights +1.5 (-250)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Stars at Golden Knights projected goalies
Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Logan Thompson (25-14-5, 2.70 GAA, .908 SV%, 1 SO)
Oettinger’s record is tied for 6th-best in the NHL, while his 2.72 GAA is good for 19th. He has started each game so far in this series and allowed a total of 8 goals in that span. Saturday’s win was his best performance yet with 32 saves and a .941 SV%.
Thompson has been a middle-of-the-pack goalie this season. He has the 13th-best record, 17th-best GAA, and 19th-best SV%. He has also started in each of the 1st 3 games of this series and allowed 7 goals in that span. While he had 43 saves in Game 3 Saturday, his best performance was in Game 2 with a .952 SV% and just 1 goal allowed.
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Stars at Golden Knights picks and predictions
Prediction
Stars 3, Golden Knights 2
Moneyline
BET STARS (-125).
While the Stars lost both games at home to start the series, they showed a clear advantage in Game 3 on the road. In an offensive battle, with the teams combining for a new series high in total shots, Dallas scored the OT winner. Oettinger seemingly turned a corner and had his best performance of the series Saturday and should be expected to hold it down for Dallas Monday.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the puck line in either direction. Two of the 3 games this series been won by exactly 1 goal.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 5.5 (-120).
The Stars have scored 3 or fewer goals in each game this series, while the Knights have scored 3 or fewer in 2 of the 3. Even with an accelerated pace Saturday, the total did not surpass 5 goals. It will be more of the same Monday. Both goalies have proven their worth and will keep this total under 5 goals.
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