Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (27-14-1) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-15-2) meet Tuesday at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Maple Leafs lead 1-0; Toronto won 5-3 in Dallas on Dec. 18 as a slight underdog (+124) as the Over (5.5) cashed

The Maple Leafs have won 7 consecutive meetings against the Stars since March 15, 2022. Toronto has outscored Dallas 29-13 in that 7-game win streak. The Under has connected in 5 of the past 8 meetings.

Toronto was blanked 3-0 at home Saturday against the Vancouver Canucks, and it has dropped the past 2 games after a 5-game win streak. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 outings, while cashing at a 5-2 clip in the previous 7 contests.

Dallas was edged 3-2 at the Ottawa Senators as the Under (6) connected, halting a 7-game win streak. The Stars are still an impressive 8-1-1 across the past 10 games, with 4 of the past 5 games decided by a single goal. The Stars have ended up going to overtime or a shootout in 3 of the past 5 contests. The Under has cashed in 3 in a row, and the total has gone low at 7-1-3 in the past 11 games, and 10-2-3 in the previous 15 contests.

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Stars at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Maple Leafs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-250) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Stars at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (21-9-1, 2.35 GAA, .910 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Joseph Woll (14-7-0, 2.58 GAA, .912 SV%, 1 SO)

Oettinger has won 5 straight starts, and he has allowed 3 or fewer goals in 6 of the past 7 outings. In January, Oettinger has posted an impressive 4-0-0 record, 2.16 GAA and .914 SV%. He started the game against the Maple Leafs Dec. 18, allowing 4 goals on 12 shots before getting pulled after 2 periods in a loss.

Woll was knocked around for 5 goals on 33 shots in a 6-3 loss at Carolina last time out. That halted a 5-game win streak for the Toronto tendy. He is 3-1-0 withy a 3.00 GAA and .907 SV% in 4 starts in January.

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Stars at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Maple Leafs 2

Moneyline

The STARS (-105) are a value play as short ‘dogs as the road trip continues.

The Maple Leafs (-115) have managed 7 straight wins in the series, but the Leafs are really struggling lately, and it’s hard to imagine Oettinger struggling for a second straight outing against Toronto. In fact, the Lakeville, Minn.,  native is likely to bring his ‘A’ game.

Puck line/Against the spread

Playing Stars +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward if you require a little bit of insurance.

The Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200) cannot be trusted, as they’re coming off a shutout loss at home to Vancouver, while getting outscored 9-3 in the past 2 outings.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 5.5 (+100) is worth a look at even-money.

The Under has connected in 3 of the past 4 outings for the Maple Leafs, while going 5-2 across the past 7 tries.

The Stars have cashed low in each of the past 3 stops on the road trip, and the Under has dominated at 14-3-3 in the past 20 games. While that makes this look like a slam-dunk play, one of those 3 Over results came against the Leafs in the Metroplex in the first meeting last month, so be careful.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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