The Dallas Mavericks (15-17) stop by the Moda Center Monday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (13-19). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Dallas lost a close one at the Utah Jazz on Christmas 120-116, but covered as 13.5-point road underdogs.
The Mavs are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 4-2 ATS and 3-3 O/U over the past two weeks with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (plus-2.4 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Portland lost 111-97 at the New Orleans Pelicans Tuesday and had its Dec. 23 game with the Brooklyn Nets postponed due to COVID complications.
Over the past two weeks, the Trail Blazers are 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS and 1-3-1 O/U with the 19th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-3.8 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.
Mavericks at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Mavericks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Trail Blazers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +1.5 (-122) | Trail Blazers -1.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Mavericks at Trail Blazers key injuries
Mavericks
- PG Luka Doncic (ankle) out
- SF Dorian Finney-Smith (health and safety protocols) out
- SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (health and safety protocols) out
- SG Reggie Bullock (health and safety protocols) out
Trail Blazers
- PG Damian Lillard (personal) questionable
- SG C.J. McCollum (chest) out
- C Jusuf Nurkic (health and safety protocols) out
- SF Robert Covington (health and safety protocols) out
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Mavericks at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Trail Blazers 114, Mavericks 109
Money line
“LEAN” to the TRAIL BLAZERS (-110) that can get upgraded to a “like” if Damian Lillard gets upgraded to active on the final injury report.
Dame Time has put up some monster games vs. Dallas recently. Over his past five games against the Mavs, Lillard is averaging 37.7 points per game on 65.7% true shooting (.508/.370/.904) with 7.8 assists per game.
This should be a get-right spot for Portland, who plays much better at home. For instance, the Trail Blazers are 11-7 SU with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating at home (plus-5.2 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.
Also, since this game is priced as a coin-flip, I’d prefer to back the better rebounding and shooting team, which is Portland.
For instance, the Trail Blazers rank 13th in effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and 14th in rebounding rate. Whereas the Mavs are 24th in eFG% and 23rd in rebounding rate.
Against the spread
PASS since Portland’s money line is only eight cents on the dollar more expensive than the Trail Blazers -1.5 (-102). For what it’s worth, the Mavs are 9-7 ATS on the road and the Trail Blazers are 9-9 ATS at home.
Over/Under
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 212.5 (-112) because Dallas has gone Over in three of its past four games and Portland has gone Over the total in its last five games playing on three or more days of rest.
In addition, the Over has cashed in seven of the last eight Mavericks-Trail Blazers meetings, five of those games went Over by at least 16 points.
However, it’s only a slight “lean” because of all the missing firepower between both teams so it’s hard to wrap my arms around this total.
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