The Dallas Mavericks (23-17) and Oklahoma City Thunder (17-22) meet Sunday at Paycom Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Mavericks covered the spread as 8.5-point home favorites 127-117 vs. the New Orleans Pelicans Saturday. G Luka Doncic had a triple-double with 34 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists as Dallas improved to 8-1 in its last 9 games. The Mavericks are 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games after covering in their previous game.
The Thunder covered as 1-point home favorites 127-110 vs. the Washington Wizards Friday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with a game-high 30 points as Oklahoma City covered for 100% of the game. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS vs. the Mavericks in their last 5 head-to-head meetings.
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Mavericks at Thunder odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Thunder -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-110) | Thunder -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mavericks at Thunder key injuries
Mavericks
- Not yet submitted
Thunder
- C Jaylin Williams (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 120, Mavericks 111
Moneyline
PASS.
The Thunder (-155) are in a great spot to win, but buying the 3.5 points is unnecessary when Oklahoma City should win by margin. Bet the spread or total instead.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER -3.5 (-110).
Dallas has the 3rd-worst cover percentage in the league when playing on the road (33.3%). Oklahoma City is 13-8 ATS at home (61.9%) and has played well vs. the Mavericks in recent meetings. Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 road games and should continue to struggle Sunday vs. a Thunder team that has won back-to-back home games by an average margin of 25 points.
Over/Under
BET OVER 227.5 (-110).
The Over is 9-2 in Dallas’ last 11 games when playing the second game of a back-to-back and 4-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 5 home games. Dallas allows the 3rd-highest shooting percentage on the road (50.1%) and Oklahoma City is 1st in the NBA in points over the last 3 games (130.7). The Thunder should continue to impress offensively and help the Over hit Sunday against a Mavericks team that has underperformed on the road this season.
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