The Dallas Mavericks (31-28) and Denver Nuggets (40-18) meet Wednesday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Mavericks failed to cover the spread as 6-point home favorites Monday in a 124-121 loss vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves. G Kyrie Irving scored 26 of his game-high 36 points in the 4th quarter, but Dallas failed to get a game-tying 3-point shot off before the buzzer. The Mavericks are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 away games vs. teams with a winning home record.
The Nuggets covered as 1-point favorites Monday with a 112-108 win at the Miami Heat. C Nikola Jokic finished with 27 points for the Nuggets, who have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
The Mavericks lead the season series 2-1. Dallas covered as a 4.5-point road underdog in a 116-115 win as the Over 223.5 total points cashed in the most recent meeting Dec. 6.
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Mavericks at Nuggets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:08 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-112) | Nuggets -4.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries
Mavericks
- F Reggie Bullock (illness, non-COVID) questionable
- F Tim Hardaway Jr. (hamstring) questionable
- G Kyrie Irving (back) probable
- C Christian Wood (illness, non-COVID) questionable
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (rib) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 120, Mavericks 119
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets (-190) are 24-4 as home favorites but are being slightly overvalued on the moneyline vs. the new-look Mavericks. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MAVERICKS +4.5 (-112).
Dallas should be able to bounce back after losing in an embarrassing way to the Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played well in Denver in recent meetings and the addition of Irving should help Dallas continue to cover at Ball Arena. The Mavericks are 16-11 straight up after a loss and should be able to keep it close Wednesday in an attempt to avoid going on a 3-game skid.
Over/Under
BET OVER 234.5 (-105).
The Over is 5-1 in Dallas’ last 6 games and 11-2 in the Mavericks’ last 13 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Over has hit in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games and is 4-0 in the Nuggets’ last 4 at home. Dallas is 3rd in offensive efficiency over the last 3 games and should help the Over connect Wednesday in Denver.
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