The Colorado Rockies (52-65) conclude their four-game series with the San Francisco Giants (75-42) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Rockies RHP Jon Gray (7-8, 3.85 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 114 2/3 IP.
- Has recorded worse splits on the road than at home despite Coors Field being very hitter-friendly, with a 4.56 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 51 1/3 IP through 10 road starts. Colorado is 2-8 in those games.
- Is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA, 30 K and 11 BB over 28 2/3 IP across five starts in the second half.
Giants LHP Alex Wood (9-3, 4.22 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.
- Recorded a 2.44 ERA through the first two months of the season but in 12 starts since the beginning of June he has a 5.64 ERA and has given up 4 or more earned runs across six starts.
- Is 8-1 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 starts against losing teams, including a 1-0 record and 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Rockies.
Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Giants 6, Rockies 3
Money line (ML)
Things lined up for the Rockies to secure a rare road victory Saturday but I’m not anticipating a repeat Sunday; Colorado is 14-44 away from Coors Field.
However, Wood has just been too erratic since the beginning of June to be fully trusted at a -220 price line. While he has pitched well against the Rockies in two starts this season those games came in April and May. He gave up 9 ER over 10 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks in his last two starts, and if the D-Backs can get to you, anyone can.
While the Giants are almost certain to right the ship today the risk is just too great at over two times your potential return. PASS, and seek better value elsewhere.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
After facing a left-handed starter Saturday, albeit only for 2 innings, the Giants have an opportunity to get off to a better start with a righty on the mound. San Francisco ranks fifth in wRC+ and wOBA and fourth by OPS against right-handed hurlers.
The Giants are also ninth in the league in runs scored at home and prior to Saturday’s 1-run output had scored at least 5 runs in eight consecutive home games.
While Wood remains a potential concern there’s a much better value to be found on the home-side run line to at least warrant a partial-unit play on the Giants -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
The number here is likely impacted by the name value of the pitchers and the Rockies’ struggles to produce on the road this season, but both pitchers have the potential to give up a little action – particularly with both teams hitting in their better splits.
This line has dropped to 8 in some places and may eventually do the same at Tipico if you care to wait it out for the push potential, but I’m expecting a resurgent output from San Francisco today and hoping the Rockies can do enough damage to put this one OVER 8.5 (+100).
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