The Colorado Rockies (3-6) try to prevent a three-game sweep against the San Francisco Giants (5-3) when they play Game 3 at Oracle Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Germán Márquez (0-0) is the projected starter for the Rockies. Marquez got two no-decisions to start 2021, pitching a total 10 innings while surrendering 4 earned runs on 11 hits and 8 walks, and striking out 7.
Colorado is 1-1 in games started by Márquez with an 8-5 Opening Day victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers and a 10-8 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday.
- 2020 vs. Giants: 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 12 K, 2 BB) in 2 starts.
- Career vs. Giants: 4-4 with a 5.53 ERA (57 IP, 35 ER, 71 H, 50 K, 10 BB) in 10 starts.
RHP Anthony DeSclafani (0-0) takes the mound for his second start of the season. He pitched 5 innings for a no-decision in San Francisco’s 3-2 win against the San Diego Padres Monday. He gave up just 1 earned run on 4 hits and 3 walks while striking out 4.
- Career vs. Rockies: 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA (17 IP, 8 ER, 17 H, 15 K, 6 BB) in 3 starts. DeSclafani’s last appearance vs. Colorado was while playing for the Cincinnati Reds in 2019
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Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-185) | Giants -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Giants 5, Rockies 2
Money line (ML)
April is by far the best month of the season for DeSclafani, the problem has always been sustaining the early season production. He has a 2.56 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in April compared to career rates of 4.27 and 1.29, respectively.
Also, the Rockies on the current roster have 24 at-bats worth of experience vs. DeSclafani while slashing .292/.333/.500 with 1 HR.
Compare that to Marquez’s track record vs. Giants on the current roster: 117 at-bats with a .359/.402/.5556 slash line with 3 home runs.
Those San Francisco hitters also have a .957 OPS against Marquez, which is higher than the Los Angeles Dodgers’ MLB-high .828 OPS since the beginning of last season.
BET GIANTS (-130) for 1 unit.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+150) for a quarter-unit.
According to Pregame.com, 98% of the cash at the time of publishing was on Colorado’s run line, but bookmakers brought the price down from Rockies +1.5 (-196) to the current price.
It’s a major red flag when the House makes the more popular side cheaper because it tips off which team the bookmakers prefer.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a half-unit because the Giants have cashed six consecutive Unders and the Rockies played to the Under in each of their last five games as underdogs.
Additionally, Oracle Park is notoriously pitcher-friendly as it had the second-lowest FIP and the fewest runs scored last season.
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