After winning two of the first three games of the series, the Colorado Rockies (46-59) hope to pick up a road series win over the San Diego Padres (60-47) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Rockies LHP Austin Gomber (8-5, 3.69 ERA) makes his 18th start of the year. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.
- He is facing the Padres for the fourth time this season. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.47 through 19 1/3 innings against them.
- He won each of his last five decisions.
Padres RHP Reiss Knehr (0-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his second-ever start in the majors. He walked 4 and struck out 3 with 2 earned runs allowed through 3 2/3 innings against the Rockies in his MLB debut.
- His major league debut was July 9 against the Rockies. He lasted only 3 2/3 innings but the Padres won 4-2.
- He was 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA over 13 starts with Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso.
Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Prediction
Padres 5, Rockies 3
Money line (ML)
The Rockies, with two wins in a row this series over the Padres, no longer have the worst road record in the majors, although they are tied for the fewest road wins with 13. It is the second time all season they have won two consecutive road games. Their only road series win was over the Padres just before the All-Star break.
Despite two losses in a row at Petco Park, the Padres have the second-most home victories this season. While Knehr might not go deep into the game, their bullpen has an MLB-best 2.94 ERA. They have not lost three straight home games since being swept by the Milwaukee Brewers in April.
Take the PADRES (-155).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Rockies have improved to 23-29 ATS on the road having gone 7-2 ATS on their current road trip.
The Padres are only 27-30 ATS at home this season and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
Considering the season-long performance of both teams goes against the most recent trends, it is bound to correct itself.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (+130).
Over/Under (O/U)
Over 52% of games at Petco Park this season went Over the projected total.
Four of the Rockies’ nine games on this road trip had 9 or more runs scored and four of the Padres’ last 11 games have had a total of 9-plus runs.
Only four of the 15 games this season between the two teams had 9 or more runs.
Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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