The Colorado Rockies (14-21) begin a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (20-15) on Monday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 3-0
The Rockies cruised to a 13-6 win at the New York Mets Sunday. Colorado won the final 2 games of the 3-game set in New York and has won 6 of its last 7 games.
The Pirates lost 10-1 to the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday, their 7 straight loss. Pittsburgh swept Colorado in a 3-game series on April 17-19 while outscoring the Rockies 33-9.
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Rockies at Pirates projected starters
LHP Kyle Freeland vs. RHP Mitch Keller
Freeland (3-3, 3.76 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 38 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 5 or more hits in 4 of his first 7 starts
- April 17 vs. Pittsburgh: 9 R (7 ER) on 8 H and 1 BB with 1 K in 2 2/3 IP
Keller (3-1, 3.32 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.
- Has allowed 5-plus hits in 5 of his first 7 starts
- Has struck out at least 7 batters in 5 of his first 7 starts
- Has walked only 3 batters in his last 3 starts after issuing 10 free passes in his first 4 turns
Rockies at Pirates odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Pirates -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-135) | Pirates -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rockies at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Pirates 5, Rockies 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Unless you can get the Pirates’ moneyline at -160 odds or better then I’d avoid betting on either team in this game straight up.
Run line/Against the spread
PIRATES -1.5 (+110) has great value with how well Keller has pitched for Pittsburgh. The Pirates are also performing well against southpaws this season, posting a 115 wRC+ against LHP this season (tied for 6th best in MLB).
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this NL matchup despite the Rockies swinging a hot bat in recent games. Keller is seemingly putting everything together on the mound and Freeland hasn’t been awful either.
The Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these clubs and 19-6-4 in the last 29 meetings in Pittsburgh.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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