Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (52-74) look to avoid being swept in the finale of a 4-game road series against the New York Mets (82-46) Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 5-1

The Rockies have lost 4 straight games and 10 of their last 13 games. They have dropped their last 7 road games.

The Mets have won 5 of their last 9 outings and have a 3-game lead atop the NL East.

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Rockies at Mets projected starters

RHP German Marquez vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Marquez (6-10, 5.22 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 139 2/3 IP.

  • Is 3-2 with a 3.89 ERA with 2 complete games over 6 career starts against the Mets.
  • Is 4-5 with 4.11 ERA in 10 road starts this season.

Scherzer (9-3, 2.33 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 115 2/3 IP.

  • Is 4-1 with 1.71 ERA in 8 home starts in 2022.
  • Allowed 4 runs in each of his last 2 starts.

Rockies at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Mets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-130) | Mets -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rockies 2

Money line

This is a very uneven matchup to end the season series for the Rockies. Colorado is awful on the road this season and has lost its last 7 away from Coors Field and sports the league’s worst road record at 18-42.

The Mets are 43-19 at home — only 2 teams in MLB have more home wins.

However, PASS on the money line. It is just too expensive to be worth any action.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are 70-58 ATS overall this season and 32-30 ATS at home.

However, with the spread at -2.5 instead of a standard -1.5, it isn’t as sure a thing.

The Rockies have lost their last 4 closeout games, 3 of them by at least 3 runs.

The Mets have beaten the Rockies only twice by 3 or more runs. They have won by 3 or more runs in only 7 of Scherzer’s 18 starts.

Marquez is a reliable starter for the Rockies and has pitched well in his career against the Mets.

Take the ROCKIES +2.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Four of the 6 games between these two teams have had fewer than 8 runs this season.

The Mets have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games.

The Mets have held the Rockies to 1 or 0 runs 4 times this season.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-125).

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