The Colorado Rockies (31-40) gear up against the Minnesota Twins (39-33) Saturday in the 2nd of a 3-game set at Target Field. First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Colorado leads 1-0 after winning by that tally Friday night.
Someone pulled the plug Friday night because 2 pitchers with ERAs near or above 5 combined to throw 13 2/3 innings and allow 1 run. Rockies OF Charlie Blackmon plated the only run of the game in the 6th inning as the Rockies earned a rare shutout on the road.
Minnesota had just 3 hits and were 0-for-3 with runners in scoring position. The Twins have lost 4 of 5 but still have a share of 1st place in the AL Central. They have scored just 1 run in the last 2 games combined.
Something has to start clicking Saturday. OF Byron Buxton (knee) is battling patella tendinitis in his right knee, but he struck out as a pinch-hitter Friday. He has been nursing the injury since spring training, and they plan to give him routine days off to manage it. His AB Friday was a good sign he may play Saturday.
Rockies at Twins projected starters
RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Chris Archer
Senzatela (3-3, 4.42 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 53 innings.
- Has been really good with a 2.50 ERA and 6.5 K/9 the last 3 starts
- Actually worse on the road: 0-2, 6.75 ERA, 1.78 WHIP vs. 3-1, 3.52 ERA, 1.75 WHIP at home
Archer (1-3, 3.44 ERA) makes his 14th start of the season. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 52 1/3 innings.
- Not going deep into games, but he hasn’t given up more than 3 ER in last 7 GS
- Averaged 64 pitches per start over last 4 GS
- Current Rockies hitting .257 in 37 plate appearances lifetime
Rockies at Twins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-130) | Twins -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Rockies at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Rockies 3
Money line
The books can certainly feel a Minnesota turnaround as they’re heavy favorites Saturday after checking in at -160 Friday.
There’s no chance of rain and a 16 mph gust of wind blowing out to right-center. The bats should come alive, but we’re not going to pay -180. I’d much rather take TWINS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-160).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Twins are 31-41 on the run line this year and 15-23 at home.
There are 3 factors that make me lean toward them: Senzatela’s not good away from Coors; the Twins have scored 1 run the last 2 days and are due; and the wind blowing out will help them more.
It’s just a lean, but LEAN TWINS -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
The wind blowing out really makes this dicey.
The Under is 3-0-1 in the Rockies’ last 4 against the AL Central. That same record applies to the Twins’ last 4 against NL teams below .500. The Under is 6-0-2 in the Twins’ last 8 interleague games at home.
LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-112).
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