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The Colorado Rockies (45-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (61-54) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rockies lead 4-1
The Rockies picked up a 7-3 win Tuesday behind LHP Kyle Freeland as they bounced back from an embarrassing 12-1 pounding in the series opener Monday. The Over has cashed in the first 2 meetings in this series, and 3 straight meetings overall this season.
The Brewers have alternated losses and wins across the past 9 outings dating back to July 31. Despite going 4-8 in 12 games dating back to July 28, the Brew Crew still maintain a 1 1/2-game lead in the NL Central over the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds.
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Rockies at Brewers projected starters
RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Flexen (1-5, 7.82 ERA) makes his 7th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.93 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 50 2/3 innings for the Rockies and the Seattle Mariners.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 9-4 road loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Friday
- 2023 road splits: 1-1, 9.43 ERA (21 IP, 22 ER – 8 HR), .418 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts and 7 relief appearances
Houser (4-3, 4.19 ERA) makes his 14th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 73 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 14-1 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
- 2023 home splits: 2-1, 3.67 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 14 ER – 3 HR), .257 OBA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
Rockies at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Brewers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rockies at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 8, Rockies 4
Moneyline
The Brewers (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward. Flexen has been horrific so far this season in his stops in Seattle and Denver and he’s been even worse on the road, posting a 9.43 ERA in enemy territory. Teams are hitting .418 against him in 21 IP away from home, too.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The BREWERS -1.5 (-120) are a decent play on the run line in the series finale.
Flexen has been very giving on the road, and you need to keep fading him and his team until he starts to make significant progress away from home. He also has a horrible 8.66 ERA across 17 2/3 IP in 2 daytime starts and 5 relief appearances in his time with Seattle.
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Over/Under
OVER 9.5 (-105) is a strong play in the series finale.
With the way Flexen has been knocked around, Milwaukee could very well take care of the Over on its own. The Over has cashed in each of the first 2 games in this series, so why stop going high now?
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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