The Colorado Rockies (25-37) and Miami Marlins (26-35) clash again Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 2-3 with a 4.84 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 4.7 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 across 48 1/3 IP over 11 games (7 starts).
Gonzalez is coming off rough back-to-back relief outings but he was solid in two starts before that with 2 ER over 13 IP.
LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starter for the Marlins. In a dozen starts this season, Rogers is 6-3 with a 1.97 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 through 68 2/3 IP.
The southpaw has held right-handed batters to a .582 OPS.
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Rockies at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Marlins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-120) | Marlins -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Prediction
Marlins 4, Rockies 3
Money line (ML)
Colorado and Miami split the first two games of this series.
Colorado has had its woes in creating offense away from Coors Field. The Rockies’ anemic .565 road OPS ranks last in MLB.
Some of that is BABIP related (Colorado has a .272 BABIP away from home). Some of it is poor performance in high-leverage situations and some of it is schedule-related as the Rockies have played a tough slate with regard to pitching faced.
Add in the assessment that Rogers is good but not sub-2.00 ERA good. BACK THE ROCKIES (+180).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
TAG THE ROCKIES +1.5 (-120) with a slight lean. The run line isn’t loaded with house edge and can give bettors who want more security just that.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with too many conflicting play/fade signals to parse.
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