The Colorado Rockies (29-47) and the Cincinnati Reds (39-35) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m (ESPN+). ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 3-2
The Rockies have dropped 6 straight games dating back to June 13. Colorado has allowed a total of 65 runs in the previous 8 outings, or 8.1 runs per game, as the Over has connected in 3 of its last 4 contests.
The Reds have rattled off 10 consecutive victories since June 10, storming into first place in the NL Central by a half-game over the Milwaukee Brewers.
Cincinnati has done a great job of stacking wins lately, going 15-2 in the past 17 games following a victory. It is also 13-3 in the past 16 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Rockies at Reds projected starters
RHP Connor Seabold vs. LHP Andrew Abbott
Seabold (1-3, 5.88 ERA) makes his 10th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 over 56 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 9 ER, 9 H (4 HR), 1 BB, 1 K in a 10-2 road loss vs. the Atlanta Braves Saturday
- 2023 road splits: 1-2, 6.91 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 21 ER – 7 HR) with a .297 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts and 7 appearances
Abbott (3-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 17 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 2-1 road win vs. the Houston Astros Friday
- 2023 home splits: 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB and 6 K in a 2-0 win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers in his only previous career home start June 5
Rockies at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 6:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Reds -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+105) | Reds -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Rockies at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Rockies 2
Moneyline
The Reds (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times more than your initial wager, which is just too expensive.
The Rockies (+200) are a tempting play for a chance to double up, but they cannot be trusted. Colorado has won just 3 of the past 18 tries against winning teams and is 5-17 in the past 22 games overall.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The REDS -1.5 (-125) won’t set you back too much if you’d like the home side on the run line.
Cincinnati covered the run line as a favorite in Tuesday’s game, and it has won by 2 or more runs in 4 of the past 6 outings.
The Rockies +1.5 (+105) are not a recommended play, as their margin of defeat in the past 5 outings is 5.8 runs per game.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The UNDER 9 (-115) is worth playing, even though Seabold is a little on the shaky side.
It’s all about Abbott driving this Under train, as he is the first MLB pitcher since 1893 with 3 consecutive scoreless starts of 5 or more innings to begin his career.
The Under is 5-0 in the Rockies’ last 5 tries against left-handed starting pitchers and is 20-9-1 in the past 30 road games against teams with a winning overall record.
The Reds have plated 5 or more runs in 4 straight outings while posting 4 or more runs in 10 of the past 11 games. Still, the Under has cashed in 2 of Abbott’s 3 outings, and it’s the way to go Wednesday afternoon.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]