The Colorado Rockies (56-75) square off with the Atlanta Braves (80-51) in the final game of a 3-game series Thursday at Truist Park. The game will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 4-1
The Rockies enter Thursday’s matchup having won only 4 of their last 10 games. Colorado lost to Atlanta 3-2 Wednesday as rookie RF Michael Toglia was the lone supplier of offense for the Rockies. Toglia went 2-for-4 with a 2-run home run in the loss, hitting his 1st career HR, which came in the top off the 9th off of Braves closer Kenley Jansen.
The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games. DH Ronald Acuna Jr. made his return Wednesday following a 3-game absence. The superstar OF went 1-for-4 with a home run to help Atlanta secure the win at home. The Braves enter Thursday only 3 games behind the New York Mets for the NL East lead.
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Rockies at Braves projected starters
RHP Chad Kuhl vs. RHP Spencer Strider
Kuhl (6-7, 5.17 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 108 IP.
- Has given up 3 or more ER in 8 of his last 10 starts, including in 7 straight
- June 3 at Braves: 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K, no-decision in Colorado’s 3-1 loss
Strider (8-4, 2.87 ERA) makes his 17th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 13.3 K/9 in 106 2/3 IP.
- Has allowed just 1 ER or less in 9 of his last 11 starts
- June 4 at Rockies: 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 5 K, no-decision in Atlanta’s 6-2 win
Rockies at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET
- Money line (ML): Rockies +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Braves -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-103) | Braves -2.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Rockies 2
Money line
Strider has made a definitive case to be the NL ROY. The only other rookie who could prevent the hard-throwing pitcher from winning the award is OF Michael Harris Jr., who also happens to play for the Braves.
This could be a lopsided game given the pitching matchup, but PASS on wagering on the money line with Atlanta having -450 odds to win.
Instead, backing the BRAVES OVER 2.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-127) is a solid alternative.
Run line/Against the spread
It’s not every day you see a team favored by 2.5-plus runs, but BRAVES -2.5 (-117) is unquestionably plausible given the pitching matchup. You can also go with BRAVES -1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-115) in case Atlanta’s bullpen surrenders a couple of runs later in the game.
Over/Under
Even with Strider likely shutting down the Rockies, OVER 7.5 RUNS (-125) is worth taking. The Braves should have no issue producing runs against Kuhl and the Colorado bullpen at home.
The Over is 5-0 in Kuhl’s last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record and the Over has hit in his last 6 road starts. On the other hand, the Over is 6-0-1 in Strider’s last 7 starts.
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