The Colorado Rockies (67-78) and Atlanta Braves (76-67) meet Wednesday for the second game of their three-game series at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela (4-9, 4.11 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 138 IP.
- Has a 2.54 ERA over 39 IP through his last six starts, including holding the Braves to 3 ER on 6 H over 7 IP Sept. 3, in Colorado.
- Ranks in the 15th percentile or worse in average exit velocity, hardhit%, expected batting average, K% , whiff% and chase rate.
Braves RHP Huascar Ynoa (4-5, 3.22 ERA) makes his 14th start in his 15th appearance. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 72 2/3 IP.
- Owns a 3.54 ERA over 28 IP across five starts since returning from the injured list Aug. 17. He allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 1 BB in Colorado opposite Senzatela Sept. 3.
- Benefited from a below-average .246 BABIP and above-average 79.0% left on base rate.
Also see: World Series odds
Rockies at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-120) | Braves -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Prediction
Braves 5, Rockies 3
Money line (ML)
There aren’t a lot of enormous differentiators between these two teams lately. They’ve played similarly, both recording 5-5 records through their last 10 games, and the Rockies have actually posted a marginally better record across their last 20 outings. These squads split a four-game series Sept. 2-5 in Colorado.
The Braves hit right-handed pitching better than the Rockies when considering OPS, wRC+ and wOBA. Atlanta has also been more efficient at the plate over the last two weeks.
This game is teetering near the reasonable cut-off point for a money line wager. You can lay a partial-unit bet on the BRAVES (-220) to mitigate risk or parlay them with another similarly priced favorite to make the most of the line.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
I’m anticipating a rebound performance from Atlanta after dropping Tuesday’s series-opener 5-4.
The Rockies remain second to last in scoring on the road, with just 3.42 runs per game, despite some resurgent play away from Coors Field in recent weeks. On the other hand, the Braves are one of the league’s more prolific teams at home with 5.12 runs per game.
Both bullpens have performed similarly over the last two weeks, but Atlanta has a slight edge in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% across that span.
There is some value here with the even money on the BRAVES -1.5 (+100) to get back on track from Tuesday’s series-opening loss.
Over/Under (O/U)
These teams have struggled to generate offense in bunches recently, and on a rainy, wind-in day at Truist Park, I’m not anticipating a breakout game.
With some hope that Ynoa and Senzatela can continue to benefit from their low BABIPs and high LOB%, I’m going to lean to the UNDER 8.5 (-102).
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