The Cleveland Indians (25-20) squeaked out a one-run victory over the Detroit Tigers (18-29) on Monday, and they’ll meet again Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Aaron Civale is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 6-1 with a 3.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 60 IP over nine starts.
The strikeouts are down a bit for Civale this season, but he recorded a season-high 8 K in his most recent outing. He faced the Tigers in his first two starts of the season, winning both while surrendering 4 ER in 14 2/3 IP.
LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 1-6 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 38 IP over nine appearances (seven starts).
Skubal recorded his first win of the season in his last start, one in which he whiffed nine batters. He squared off against Civale and the Indians twice back in April and served up 8 ER and 3 HR in 9 1/3 IP.
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Indians at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Tigers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Road -1.5 (+115) | Indians +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Indians 4, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
When these same two pitchers went head-to-head back in April, Cleveland won easily both times by the score of 9-3 and 11-3.
Skubal has been showing some positive signs lately, though, including a 31.9% K% and 22 K in 16 IP over his last three starts.
Still, Civale is the pitcher in this matchup that we can be confident in. Back the INDIANS (-140) to come out on top Tuesday evening.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
While Cleveland should win this game, don’t expect it to be by as wide of a margin as previous meetings between these two pitchers.
Skubal has taken steps forward over the past few weeks, and the Indian offense is averaging just 3.54 runs per game in their last 13 contests.
The recommendation here is to PASS on the run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
Most signs point to the pitchers having success in this game. Civale has been good all year, Skubal is improving, and they both get pretty good matchups.
Detroit is 28th in runs per game, while Cleveland is 26th in wRC+ vs lefties, has been struggling lately, and just lost Franmil Reyes to the IL.
Take UNDER 9 (-115) in what should be a low-scoring affair.
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