Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (61-43) host the Cleveland Indians (50-50) in the second game of their three-game set Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener Friday, 6-4, with its standout performance coming from White Sox 3B Yoan Moncada who hit 3-for-5 with 1 home run, 1 RBI and 2 runs scored.

Season series: Tied 6-6.

RHP Triston McKenzie is Cleveland’s projected starter. McKenzie is 1-4 with a 5.61 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 13 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Cleveland’s 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday.
  • McKenzie is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA against the White Sox this year (11 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 7 H, 8 BB and 22 K in three starts.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (25 PA): 3.20 FIP with a .227 batting average (BA), .320 wOBA, .341 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 44.0 K% and 84.9 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for the White Sox. Keuchel is 7-4 with a 4.32 ERA (108 1/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 19 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-3, with a 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Kansas City Royals Monday.
  • Keuchel is 0-1 against Cleveland this season with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 7 H, 6 BB and 6 K in two starts.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster (69 PA): 2.67 FIP with a .281 BA, .305 wOBA, .352 xSLG, 14.5 K% and 87.2 mph EV.

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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 9, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-155) only because there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” in favor of the Indians (+125) as Chicago opened as roughly -180 money line favorites and are getting a majority of the action.

However, McKenzie has gotten smoked in his three starts against Chicago, the White Sox have the highest home winning percentage in the majors (36-17 overall record) and Cleveland is free-falling out of playoff contention.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since Keuchel isn’t a starting pitcher I’d like to back on the full-game or First 5 Innings run line and Cleveland is 20-11 ATS as a road underdog.

Both bullpens are top-tier units and I don’t have enough faith in the White Sox’s lineup covering the run line if they don’t rake McKenzie.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a half unit because these teams have a combined 18-14 O/U record when these starters get the nod, Cleveland is 24-16-3 O/U vs. AL Central foes and the Over has cashed in six of the last eight Indians-White Sox meetings.

That being said, the Over 9 (-110) is a fairly obvious play and the presumed “sharp” side of the markets is backing the Under while your “average Joe” is betting the Over according to Pregame.com.

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