The Cleveland Guardians (59-52) and Toronto Blue Jays (60-50) open a 3-game set at Rogers Center Friday. First pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cleveland leads 3-1
The Guardians have worked themselves into first place in the AL Central by playing .667 ball (16-8) since July 14. Cleveland pitching owns a 3.36 ERA, 1.11 WHIP since that date. The club heads into this series having won 5 straight games, allowing just 8 runs along the way.
The Blue Jays head into this series off a 3-5 road trip and 2 days off. Toronto owns a 9-3 mark — with a fine 2.64 ERA and 1.02 WHIP — over its last dozen games at home.
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Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Cal Quantrill vs. RHP Jose Berrios
Quantrill (8-5, 3.88 ERA) is tabbed for his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 123 IP.
- Coming off 6 shutout innings versus the Houston Astros Saturday.
- Owns a 6.98 ERA and 1.97 WHIP over his last 4 road starts.
Berrios (8-4, 5.19 ERA) owns a 1.35 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 118 IP in 22 starts.
- Coughed up 5 runs over 3 2/3 IP in his most recent outing last Friday at the Minnesota Twins.
- Owns a 3.23 ERA at home vs. a 7.50 ERA on the road.
Guardians at Blue Jays odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Blue Jays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Guardians 3
Money line
Cleveland has been boosted by a 20-12 record in 1-run games, and there is some value in fading the Guardians in Friday’s contest.
That lean gets more defined by Berrios starting for the Jays. The right-hander has better stuff than surface numbers. He’s been harmed by a high rate of fly balls leaving the park and by a .310 batting average on balls in play.
Back the Blue Jays up to -165. PASS on the current tag.
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Run line/Against the spread
Both clubs have played a higher-than-average rate of 1-run games, but that risk is rewarded by a solid price here.
The Jays have played .618 ball (34-21) at home. They’ve had 8 road trips this season. Game 1 returns to Rogers Center have produced an 8-0 record.
TAKE TORONTO -1.5 (+120).
Over/Under
PASS: an upside-shaded 8.5-run total is on the mark.
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