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The Cleveland Guardians (61-69) and Toronto Blue Jays (71-59) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 3-3
The Guardians lost 8-3 as +157 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Cleveland has lost 7 of its last 10 outings and is 2nd in the AL Central, 6 games back of the division-leading Minnesota Twins and 12 1/2 games back of the final AL Wild Card.
The Blue Jays stopped a 3-game losing streak Saturday. Toronto remains 1½ games behind the Houston Astros for the final AL Wild Card spot.
Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
Syndergaard (2-6, 6.42 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 82 2/3 innings with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Guardians.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Dodgers Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 0-3, 9.37 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 34 ER) in 8 starts
- 2023 vs. Blue Jays: Win, 5 2/ 3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home victory Aug. 10
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 1.93 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Kikuchi (9-4, 3.52 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 133 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 victory at Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
- 2023 home stats: 5-2, 3.24 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 21 ER) in 11 starts
- 2023 vs. Guardians: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 1-0 road loss Aug. 8
- Career vs. Guardians: 0-2, 1.67 ERA (27 IP, 5 ER) in 4 starts
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Guardians at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Blue Jays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-110) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Guardians 2
Moneyline
The Blue Jays (-225) should take this 3-game series at home vs. the Guardians, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Toronto should win by multiple runs.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
Kikuchi has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. The Guardians are averaging just 3.18 runs per game over their last 11 outings and should struggle to plate runs Sunday. Add in Syndergaard’s horrendous road splits this season and this should create the perfect storm for the Blue Jays to win by multiple runs.
BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under is 46-20-2 (69.7%) this season when Cleveland is coming off a loss, according to TeamRankings.com.
The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and should cash again Sunday with Kikuchi on the mound for the Blue Jays.
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
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