The Cleveland Guardians (2-1) visit the Seattle Mariners (1-2) for the finale of a season-opening 4-game series Sunday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cleveland leads 2-1
Cleveland has allowed just 7 ER over 3 games, with the staff pitching around 8 extra-base hits. The Guardians prevailed by yielding a mere .231 on-base percentage leading off innings and a .182 batting average with runners in scoring position.
Seattle is looking to avoid 3 straight losses at home for the first time since July 22-24 last season. The 2022 Mariners took 6 of 7 games from Cleveland, outscoring the Guardians 29-11.
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Guardians at Mariners projected starters
RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Marco Gonzales
Quantrill went 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA a year ago. He posted a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 186 1/3 IP across 32 starts.
- Did well to avoid hard contact but also benefited from a lower-than-average 9.6% HR/FB rate.
- Has a history of fast starts, allowing a .628 OPS over 12 previous April games.
Gonzales threw 183 innings in 32 starts last season. He went 10-15 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9.
- Has held current Cleveland batters to an aggregate .669 OPS.
- Logged a 3.58 ERA and 1.15 WHIP at home last year.
Guardians at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+150) | Mariners +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
This one is a pick ’em, but the only lean here is toward more offense.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
More juice here than on the ML play. Look to the Over for the best leverage in Sunday’s series finale.
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Over/Under
This one has a fairly strong fade lean against both starters and what is likely a careful day for the Cleveland bullpen. Both starters had surface numbers propped up by some favorable numbers around the edges last season and neither had a strong exhibition season.
This series has had a couple of pitchers’ duels and one slugfest (sort of) so far. Look for the batting to prevail and balance things out with a higher-scoring game Sunday.
TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).
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