The Cleveland Guardians (1-1) and the Seattle Mariners (1-1) play the 3rd contest in a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Series tied 1-1. Mariners won the season series 6-1 in 2022.
The Guardians were blanked 3-0 in the opener Thursday as they cobbled together just 4 hits in the lower-scoring affair. However, Cleveland posted 9 runs on 13 hits as it broke out the lumber Friday, including a 2-for-4 night with a double and 5 RBIs from OF Steven Kwan.
The Mariners had a clean game defensively on Thursday but they committed 3 errors in Friday’s setback. Seattle also struck out 13 times in Friday’s loss, including 3 apiece by OFs Teoscar Hernandez and Jarred Kelenic.
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Guardians at Mariners projected starters
RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Logan Gilbert
Civale went 5-6 with a 4.92 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 97 IP across 20 starts.
- Struggled on the road last season, going 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA with 6 HR allowed in 52 IP across 11 starts
- Allowed 4 ER, 4 H, 2 HR and 2 BB in just 6 1/3 IP in a 4-0 loss at Seattle on Aug. 28 last season
Gilbert was 13-6 with a 3.20 ERA last season. He finished with a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 185 2/3 IP across 32 starts.
- Managed a 5-5 record, 3.25 ERA and 76 K across 83 IP with a .254 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 home starts in 2022
- Yielded 2 ER, 8 H and 0 BB with 2 K across 6 1/3 IP in no-decision against Cleveland on Aug. 26 last season
Guardians at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-185) | Mariners -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 6, Guardians 3
Moneyline
The MARINERS (-140) are a strong play at home, looking to bounce back from a loss in Friday’s game.
Civale struggled on the road in 2022, and he served up a couple of homers in his only start in Seattle last season.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARINERS -1.5 (+150) are worth a look on the run line at plus money.
Not only did Seattle win 6 of 7 games against Cleveland last season, but it also won 5 of the 6 outings by 2 or more runs. So if you like the M’s to win, you should like them on the run line, too.
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Over/Under
OVER 7.5 (+100) is the lean. Cleveland found its bats after getting blanked in the opener.
The Guardians cashed the Over in Civale’s final 4 outings of the season, while the Over is 5-2 in their past 7 games against AL West teams.
The Over is 6-1-1 in the past 8 games for the Mariners against AL Central teams, too, while going 5-2-1 in the past 8 home games dating back to last season.
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