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The Cleveland Guardians (72-52) and New York Yankees (73-52) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-1
The Guardians suffered a 3-game interleague series sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend, managing just 4 total runs of offense, including a 2-0 loss in Sunday’s series finale.
It’s been a roller coaster ride for Cleveland lately, winning 5 in a row from July 28-Aug. 2, before dropping 7 straight from Aug. 3-9. The Guardians then won 5 in a row from Aug. 10-14, and they’ve now dropped the past 3.
The Guardians have cashed the Under at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games, and the Under is 11-3-1 in the past 15 road contests, too.
For the Yankees, they also had a power outage on offense over the weekend, totaling just 5 runs while losing 2 of 3 games in Detroit. However, pitching has helped New York keep things afloat, allowing a total of just 10 runs in the past 5 outings, or 2.0 runs per game (RPG). The Under has cashed in 3 straight, and 4 of the past 5 outings.
Guardians at Yankees projected starters
LHP Matthew Boyd vs. RHP Luis Gil
Boyd (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.56 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Chicago Cubs last Tuesday
- 2023 road splits (w/Tigers): 4-0, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 0.99 WHIP, .207 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 BB, 46 K in 8 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-3, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 5 starts
Gil (12-6, 3.25 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 121 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 12-2 road setback vs. Chicago White Sox Aug. 12
- 2024 home splits: 6-3, 2.90 ERA (62 IP, 20 ER), 1.06 WHIP, .167 OBA, 5 HR, 29 BB, 80 K in 12 starts
- Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Guardians at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Yankees -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Guardians at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
The YANKEES (-162) are a solid play as the moderate favorite in this series opener between 1st-place teams.
New York has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of the past 6 games, but it is facing a Guardians (+136) side which has been very erratic lately.
There is a little concern against Boyd, however, as the Yankees are 13-19 in 32 tries this season against left-handed starting pitchers, so be careful.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little on the conservative side, and you’d rather not play a team straight up, GUARDIANS +1.5 (-150) isn’t priced out of line for a little bit of insurance.
As an underdog, Cleveland is 4-2 in the past 6 games on the run line as an underdog, with 3 outright victories.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.
The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 outings for the Guardians, while going 11-3-1 in the past 15 road contests.
The Yankees have cashed in 3 in a row, with the offense going for just 3.5 RPG across the past 6 outings. Look for runs to be at quite the premium.
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