The Cleveland Guardians (20-24) and New York Mets (23-23) meet on Sunday Night Baseball for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
(Stats and records don’t include the 1st game of Sunday’s doubleheader)
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
Saturday’s 2nd game of this series was rained out and will be made up as part of a doubleheader Sunday with the 1st game at 1:40 p.m. ET.
New York won 10-9 in 10 innings Friday as -137 home favorites. 1B Pete Alonso hit a game-tying grand slam in the 7th inning that sent the game into extra innings. Cleveland went up 9-7 via a 2-run HR in the 10th inning, but the Mets scored 3 runs in bottom of the 10th to win it, capped off by SS Francisco Lindor‘s walk-off HR.
Cleveland is 2-3 in its last 5 games and is 11-12 on the road. The Mets have won 3 games in a row.
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Guardians at Mets projected starters
RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Justin Verlander
Bieber (3-2, 3.20 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 56 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 12 H, 0 BB, 4 K, in an 8-3 road loss Tuesday vs. Chicago White Sox
- Career vs. New York: 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start
Verlander (1-2, 4.76 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 17 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K, in an 8-5 home loss Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Career vs. Cleveland: 22-24 with a 4.53 ERA (337 2/3 IP, 170 ER), 310 H, 38 HR, 123 BB, 359 K in 54 starts
Guardians at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mets -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-155) | Mets -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Guardians at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
BET METS (-160).
The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter and are also 6-1 in their last 7 inter-league games overall. Cleveland has also been swept in both of their previous doubleheaders this season.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN GUARDIANS +1.5 (-155).
The Mets have been bad in Verlander’s starts so far and are mediocre at home, with a 10-9 home record. The Mets should win this game, but the Guardians will keep it close.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-110).
For Cleveland the Under is 7-0 in their last 7 series finales and the Under is 3-0-1 in Bieber’s last 4 starts coming off 4 days of rest.
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