The Cleveland Guardians (25-30) and Minnesota Twins (29-27) meet Thursday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Guardians lead 2-1
Cleveland won 12-8 vs. the Baltimore Orioles as a -113 road favorite Wednesday. 1B Josh Naylor catapulted the Guardians to the victory with 6 RBIs. The Guardians are 3-1 in their last 4 games.
Minnesota won 8-2 as a +163 road underdog Wednesday vs. the Houston Astros. Minnesota never trailed as it took a 3-0 lead in the 3rd inning that started with an RBI single by 1B Donovan Solano that scored 2. The Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 contests but have not won back-to-back games since May 13-14.
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Guardians at Twins projected starters
RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Bibee (1-1, 2.88 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 34 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 2-1 home loss Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- First career start vs. Minnesota
Lopez (3-3, 4.11 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 65 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 9-7 home win Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Career vs. Cleveland: 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 HR, 2 BB, and 6 K through 1 start on April 19, 2019, as a member of the Miami Marlins
Guardians at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Twins 3
Moneyline
BET GUARDIANS (+120).
Cleveland has dominated Minnesota in recent matchups, going 11-2 in the last 13 meetings overall and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. The Twins are also just 1-6 in their last 7 series openers.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Guardians at +1.5 (-165) should be a very safe bet, but the risk here is not worth the reward when the moneyline and O/U are both great plays as well and offer better value.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-110).
The Under is 11-2-2 in Cleveland’s last 15 series openers and 8-2 in their last 10 overall. The Under is 6-4 in Minnesota’s last 10 overall.
The Under is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these squads and 7-3 in their last 10 contests.
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