The Cleveland Guardians (40-40) and Kansas City Royals (30-51) open a 3-game series Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Cleveland leads 5-2.
The Guardians are coming off a busy, rather unsuccessful stretch. Prior to an off day Thursday, Cleveland played 18 games in 16 days. The Guardians went 6-12 in those 18 games and were bludgeoned 109-58 on the scoreboard.
The Royals are just 6-14 in their last 20 games at home. Pitching has been the problem. The Royals have carded a 5.70 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and 6.4 K/9 over those 20 games.
Guardians at Royals projected starters
RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Brady Singer
Civale (2-5, 7.04 ERA) has made 10 starts this season. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 46 IP.
- Owns a 9.90 ERA in 20 road innings.
- Has made 4 career starts against the Royals (2020-22) with a 5.75 ERA in 20 1/3 IP.
Singer (3-3, 4.30 ERA) has appeared in 12 games (9 as a starter). He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.99 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 8 runs in 13 1/3 IP across 3 starts against Cleveland last season.
- Owns a 5.21 career ERA at Kauffman Stadium (vs. a 4.07 ERA on the road).
Guardians at Royals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:54 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Royals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Guardians +1.5 (-190) | Royals -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +105)
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Guardians at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Guardians 3
Money line
Consider a PARTIAL-UNIT PLAY ON KANSAS CITY (-135). Civale tied a season-high with 99 pitches his last time out. The last time he hit 99 he was roughed up for 6R in the following game.
The Cleveland offense owns a .590 OPS in its last 16 games. The Guardians bullpen has clocked a Boeing 7.69 ERA in the last 2 weeks.
Consider a full-unit play at -125 or better.
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Run line/Against the spread
LAYING OFF the run line due to an Under lean.
Over/Under
THE STRONGEST PLAY FOR THIS CONTEST IS THE UNDER 8.5 (+105). Both starters have been dinged by unkind rates around the margins, and Cleveland’s offense (4.26 runs per game) is not fully supported by underlying numbers.
An inward breeze — helping the pitching on both sides — is in the forecast.
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