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The Detroit Tigers (44-49) welcome the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) to Comerica Park for the finale of their 4-game series Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
The Guardians have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games, losing 5-4 to the Tigers on Wednesday. Cleveland has been among the best teams in the majors at home, but is just 27-23 on the road. It is 6-5 over its last 11. The Guardians are 48-43 against the spread (ATS).
The Tigers, despite sitting 4th in the AL Central, have been on a tear, winning 5 of their last 6 games. They have won 2 of 3 against the Guardians in this series and are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds. Detroit is 21-23 at home this season and is 5-4 in its last 9 at home. The Tigers are 44-49 ATS.
Guardians at Tigers projected starters
RHP Spencer Howard vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Howard (1-1, 5.63 ERA) makes his 8th appearance (3rd start). He has a 1.83 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 24 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 road win over the Texas Rangers on June 8
- 2024 away splits: 0-0, 4.35 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.0 K/9 in 3 appearances (1 start)
- Has yet to face Tigers in his career
Flaherty (5-5, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 89 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER (5 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-0 road loss to the Los Angeles Angeles on June 27
- 2024 home splits: 1-3, 3.82 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 6 HR, 12.2 K/9 in 6 starts
- Career vs. Guardians: 0-2, 3.27 ERA (22 IP, 8 ER), 22 H, 4 HR, 6 BB, 20 K in 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Guardians at Tigers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-192) | Tigers -1.5 (+158)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 6, Guardians 3
Moneyline
BET TIGERS (-130).
The Tigers have been playing well, and they have a stronger starting option on the mound as well. Detroit’s recent success has come on the back of its offense, scoring at least 5 runs in 5 of its last 6 games.
The Guardians have struggled to find any type of consistency, especially on the road. They have lost 6 of their last 8 road games and will have an option on the mound that doesn’t frequently start.
Put all that together and take TIGERS (-130).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The run line doesn’t have great value here. The Guardians +1.5 (-192) are far too expensive as a run-line underdog while the Tigers -1.5 (+158) are too risky as a run-line favorite. Avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-106).
The Tigers and Guardians have played in 6 games this season with 4 of those topping the Over. Both teams are more prone to the Over as well with the Guardians 46-40-5 on the season and the Tigers 50-40-3 O/U.
Detroit is 7-3-1 O/U in its last 11 while the Guardians have gone Over this total in 4 of their last 5. The recent and season-long trends for both sides support OVER 8 (-106).
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