The Cleveland Guardians (58-62) and Cincinnati Reds (62-59) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 2-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Guardians lead 1-0
Cleveland won 3-0 as +108 road underdogs on Tuesday. The Guardians scored on a 2-run single from 1B Kole Calhoun and scored a run on a Reds’ fielding error.
The Guardians have now won back-to-back games and are 4-6 in their last 10. Cleveland is 27-34 on the road. The Reds have now lost 2 of their last 3 and are 3-7 in their last 10. Cincinnati is 29-32 at home.
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Guardians at Reds projected starters
RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. LHP Andrew Abbott
Syndergaard (2-5, 6.35 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 72 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-3 home win Thursday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Career vs. Cincinnati: 7-0, 3.02 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 9 starts
Abbott (7-3, 2.95 ERA) makes his 14th career start. The rookie has a 1.11 WHIP and 9.8 K/9 in 76 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 9-2 road win Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- First start vs. Cleveland
Guardians at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:21 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-145) | Reds -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Guardians at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
LEAN REDS (-160).
The Reds have been on a bit of a cold streak recently, but the Guardians have not been much better. The Guardians are a slightly worse road team than the Reds are a home team. Syndergaard has struggled this season for Cincinnati, but his dominance throughout his career vs. Cleveland is what gives the Reds the slight edge here.
At (-160) this line is a bit risky, if you aren’t comfortable betting the juice then play the run line and/or O/U instead.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145).
These teams are very evenly matched and I like that the Guardians are carrying more momentum into this one than Cincinnati. The Guardians do hold a 6-4 lead in the last 10 matchups, but Cleveland’s road struggles is what will help Cincinnati pull out the win. Look for Cleveland to put up a good fight and claw to within 1-run at the very minimum.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).
For Cleveland the Under is 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 2-1 in Syndergaard’s last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati. For Cincinnati the Under is 8-2 in their last 10 and 3-2 in Abbott’s last 5 starts overall.
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