The Cleveland Guardians (19-23) and Chicago White Sox (16-28) meet Thursday as they cap off a 3-game AL Central series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Chicago leads 2-0
The Guardians offense has scored just 5 runs in the 2 games and 2.79 runs per game this month. Over that stretch, Cleveland has filed an anemic .605 OPS. The club has hit no HRs this series and have hit just 6 HR in its last 13 games.
The White Sox have clubbed 3 HRs each game of this series. That marks the 1st time since Sept. 8-9 they have hit 6 HR over a 2-game span. DH Jake Burger — owner of a .900 OPS against lefties — has homered in 3 consecutve games since coming off the IL (oblique strain).
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Guardians at White Sox projected starters
RHP Logan Allen vs. RHP Dylan Cease
Allen (1-1, 3.43 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th career start. The 24-year-old rookie owns a 1.48 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 21 innings.
- Has fly-ball stuff (34.9% ground ball rate), but has yielded just 2 HR so far
- Has allowed a high 12.5% barrel percentage
Cease (2-2, 4.86 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.
- Coming off a nice 6-inning start against Houston Astros on Saturday (4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB 5 K) as a solid bounce-back from a May 8 start at Kansas City that saw him yield 7 R
- Has a 2.93 ERA at home since 2021
Guardians at White Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Guardians +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-184) | White Sox -1.5 (+152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Guardians at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 5, Guardians 4
Moneyline
The Guardians have played the easier schedule to date so far. After scoring just 15 runs over the 6 games prior to this set with Cleveland, Chicago has scored 15 runs over the 1st 2 games of this series.
Taking Cease at home vs. a due-for-regression Allen.
BACK THE WHITE SOX (-142).
Run line/Against the spread
The return here is tempting, but Cleveland has been playing in a lot of 1-run games and likely has the fresher back end of the bullpen (though not the overall talent advantage that shows in surface ERAs).
The fly-ball hurlers in this game likely get some help from a significant pitcher’s breeze in the forecast.
AVOID.
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Over/Under
Both offenses figure as undervalued. But on a breeze-blowing-in afternoon in Chicago, and with some conflicting mound push-back on the home side, PASS.
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