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The Cleveland Guardians (50-26) and Baltimore Orioles (49-29) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Guardians lead 1-0
The Guardians picked up their 6th consecutive victory in the series opener, winning 3-2 on Monday. 3B Jose Ramirez broke the tie with a go-ahead solo HR in the top of the 6th inning. Cleveland (-108) cashed as the slight underdog while the Under (7.5) came through.
The Orioles dropped their 4th game in a row, and the offense has managed just 4 runs in the past 3 outings, or 1.33 runs per game (RPG). The Under has cashed in 2 of those 3 contests.
Despite the Under result Monday, the Over is still 6-3-2 in the past 11 games for the Orioles. Similarly, the total went low Monday, but the Over is still 5-2-1 in the past 8 outings for the Guardians.
Guardians at Orioles projected starters
LHP Logan Allen vs. LHP Cole Irvin
Allen (8-3, 5.23 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 75 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-3 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Thursday
- 2024 road splits: 5-3, 4.27 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.40 WHIP, .270 opponents’ batting average, 8 HR, 17 BB, 36 K in 9 starts
Irvin (6-3, 3.45 ERA) makes his 13th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 73 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 2 K in 17-5 road win vs. New York Yankees Thursday
- 2024 road splits: 3-2, 2.83 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.26 WHIP, .270 OBA, 3 HR, 8 BB, 33 K in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Guardians at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-155) | Orioles -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
The ORIOLES (-150) are a decent moderate favorite at home Tuesday, as they look for the bounce-back game after falling to the Guardians (+125) in the low-scoring opener.
There is plenty of risk here, as Baltimore is just 2-3 in the past 5 home games, and it has dropped 4 in a row. However, the last time it won, Swervin’ Cole Irvin was on the hill, and the O’s are 9-2 in Irvin’s previous 11 outings.
Run line/Against the spread
The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) aren’t a bad play on the run line, if you’re a little on the conservative side, but you cannot bring yourself to back Cleveland straight up.
Cleveland has won 6 in a row, and it is 3-0 on the run line as an underdog, while going 4-1 in the past 5, winning 3 times outright. It is also 10-2 in the past 12 games on the run line as a ‘dog.
Over/Under
UNDER 9.5 (-120) is worth a look. The Under is 2-1-1 in the past 4 games for the Guardians, and Cleveland pitching has allowed just 14 total runs during the 6-game win streak, or 2.3 RPG.
For the O’s, they’ve plated just 4 runs in the past 3 games, a total power outage after racking up 28 total runs of offense in consecutive games June 20-21.
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