Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (49-26) and Baltimore Orioles (49-28) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won 4-3 last year

The Guardians completed a 3-game sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday, winning 6-5. Cleveland has won 5 straight outings, outscoring opponents 33-12 in the span. The Over is on a 4-1-1 run in the previous 6 outings.

With Cleveland’s win Sunday, it has a winning percentage of .653, slightly ahead of the New York Yankees (.650) for the best mark in the American League.

The Orioles were swept in 3 games on the road against the Houston Astros, getting outscored 27-13, and that was with 11 runs scored in Friday’s series opener loss. The Over is 6-2-2 in the past 10 games for Baltimore.

Guardians at Orioles projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. LHP Cade Povich

Bibee (5-2, 3.65 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 12 K in 8-0 home victory vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.84 ERA (38 IP, 12 ER), 1.11 WHIP, .218 opponents’ batting average, 5 HR, 11 BB, 46 K in 7 starts

Povich (0-1, 3.94 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 5 BB, 1 K in 7-6 road win in 10 innings vs. Yankees Wednesday
  • Career home splits (1 start): No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 home win vs. Atlanta Braves June 12

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in this clash of potential American League playoff teams.

Bibee has emerged as a solid option in the Cleveland rotation, and he tends to do his best work on the road.

While Povich has done a decent job against the Braves and Yankees in his fledgling career, it’s a tough matchup against a red-hot Guards offense.

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you can’t bring yourself to back Baltimore straight up and need a little bit of insurance.

If you like the O’s, just bet them straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but only roll with a half-unit play at most.

The Over is on a 6-2-1 run in the past 9 games for the Orioles, including 2-0-1 in the past 3 appearances at home.

The Guardians split the total 1-1-1 in the 3-game sweep of the Blue Jays this past weekend, but the Over is on a 5-1-1 run in the previous 7 outings dating back to June 16.

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