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The Cleveland Guardians (49-26) and Baltimore Orioles (49-28) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Guardians won 4-3 last year
The Guardians completed a 3-game sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday, winning 6-5. Cleveland has won 5 straight outings, outscoring opponents 33-12 in the span. The Over is on a 4-1-1 run in the previous 6 outings.
With Cleveland’s win Sunday, it has a winning percentage of .653, slightly ahead of the New York Yankees (.650) for the best mark in the American League.
The Orioles were swept in 3 games on the road against the Houston Astros, getting outscored 27-13, and that was with 11 runs scored in Friday’s series opener loss. The Over is 6-2-2 in the past 10 games for Baltimore.
Guardians at Orioles projected starters
RHP Tanner Bibee vs. LHP Cade Povich
Bibee (5-2, 3.65 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 12 K in 8-0 home victory vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.84 ERA (38 IP, 12 ER), 1.11 WHIP, .218 opponents’ batting average, 5 HR, 11 BB, 46 K in 7 starts
Povich (0-1, 3.94 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 16 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 5 BB, 1 K in 7-6 road win in 10 innings vs. Yankees Wednesday
- Career home splits (1 start): No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 home win vs. Atlanta Braves June 12
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Guardians at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+155) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Guardians at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 5, Orioles 4
Moneyline
The GUARDIANS (-105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in this clash of potential American League playoff teams.
Bibee has emerged as a solid option in the Cleveland rotation, and he tends to do his best work on the road.
While Povich has done a decent job against the Braves and Yankees in his fledgling career, it’s a tough matchup against a red-hot Guards offense.
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, if you can’t bring yourself to back Baltimore straight up and need a little bit of insurance.
If you like the O’s, just bet them straight up.
AVOID.
Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but only roll with a half-unit play at most.
The Over is on a 6-2-1 run in the past 9 games for the Orioles, including 2-0-1 in the past 3 appearances at home.
The Guardians split the total 1-1-1 in the 3-game sweep of the Blue Jays this past weekend, but the Over is on a 5-1-1 run in the previous 7 outings dating back to June 16.
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