Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

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The Cleveland Browns (1-1-1) face the Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) on Saturday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium as both teams wrap up their preseason schedule . Kickoff is scheduled 1 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Browns vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Browns played to an 18-18 tie last week against the Philadelphia Eagles, cashing as a 4-point underdog on the road as the total (36) pushed at most shops. Cleveland has posted a 2-1 mark against the spread (ATS) in the preseason, while the total is 1-1-1 like its overall record.

The Chiefs suffered a 26-24 loss in the preseason opener on Aug. 13 in New Orleans, before burying the Arizona Cardinals on the road last Saturday 38-10 to cover a 7.5-point spread. The Over has hit in each preseason game so far for the Chiefs.

Kansas City will be playing its 1st home preseason game, while Cleveland is on the road for the 2nd straight time, and it has been on the road or at a neutral site in 3 of 4 preseason games this season.

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Browns at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Browns -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Chiefs +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Browns -3.5 (-110) | Chiefs +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Browns at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Browns 23, Chiefs 20

Moneyline

The Browns (-190) plan to play the starters for 20-25 snaps in Saturday’s preseason finale, so Cleveland is likely playing to win. The Chiefs (+155) are the defending champs, and while they obviously want to put on a show in their only preseason home appearance on the schedule, coach Andy Reid said the starters might play a little before the backups take over.

Reid wouldn’t commit to QB Patrick Mahomes playing, when pressed earlier in the week. For the Browns, QB Deshaun Watson is likely to see meaningful time with newly named backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson playing a significant role.

I don’t really like either side straight up, both if the starters were even in playing time, the obvious edge goes to Kansas City.

PASS.

Against the spread

The CHIEFS +3.5 (-110) are worth a look at home, as some starters should see enough action to make a difference. The Browns -3.5 (-110) have listed out a set amount of plays the starters will be on the field for, and it appears Cleveland is playing to win this preseason finale.

Kansas City catching 3 and a hook at home, preseason or not, is just too tough to pass on, however, especially after throttling Arizona 38-10 in its place last weekend.

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Over/Under

OVER 41.5 (-110) is the lean, but go lightly.

We’ll see players on the cusp of a roster spot giving just a little bit extra in their final preseason game, and scoring is generally up in the finale, at least since teams went from 4 preseason games to 3 a few years back. In the past, it was mostly unheard of for starters to play in a preseason finale, but it’s been commonplace lately. That has attributed to the uptick in scoring in the past couple of years.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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