Game 3 of the NBA Finals tips off Sunday at Fiserv Forum at 8:05 p.m. ET with the Milwaukee Bucks (0-2) hosting the Phoenix Suns (2-0). Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 3.
All the superstars came to play in Game 2: Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 42 points with 12 rebounds, Chris Paul scored 23 points and notched 8 assists and Devin Booker added 31 points with 6 assists.
Phoenix also got a career outing from Mikal Bridges who scored 27 points on 53.3% shooting, but Game 2 was swung because of lackluster performances from the Bucks backcourt as Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton who only scored a combined 28 points on 12-for-37 shooting.
Also see: Suns at Bucks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction
Bucks at Suns Game 3 prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:17 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Bucks SF Khris Middleton OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-120)
After having an awesome first game, Middleton put up a stinker in Game 2 but should have a bounce-back effort now that the series is in Milwaukee.
Offensively, Middleton has been a lot comfier at home, shooting 46.8% from three in Milwaukee (36.6% from three on the road) with a 121 offensive rating at home (111 offensive rating on the road).
Furthermore, Middleton has sunk at least three 3-pointers in five of his eight playoff home games this year.
Also, Middleton has hit at least three 3-pointers in four of his last six games against Suns SG Devin Booker.
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Phoenix Suns SG Devin Booker OVER 28.5 points (-120)
Speaking of Devin Booker, his preference to operate in the mid-range and his 3-point volume are why Booker’s points prop is priced this high.
This is obviously a sharp number as he averaged 27.0 points per game vs. the Bucks in two regular-season meetings and is averaging 29.0 PPG through the first two games of the NBA Finals.
However, the Over is the play because Milwaukee’s defense ranks 20th in defensive field goal percentage on mid-range attempts, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, and that’s where a bulk of Booker’s production comes from.
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For instance, 50% of Booker’s field goal attempts during the regular season came in the mid-range which was in the 100th percentile of all guards and his mid-range field goal volume has increased to 57% during the postseason.
The same case could be made for CP3’s point prop but I prefer Booker’s more so since Holiday – who’s NBA All-Defensive First Team – is defending Paul and because of CP3’s interesting history with Game 3 official Scott Foster.
Lastly, Booker has increased 3-point attempt volume thus far in the Finals because of Milwaukee’s defensive strategy to play drop coverage on pick-and-rolls and allow their opponents to hoist threes.
He’s averaging 10.0 3-point attempts per game in the Finals and if Booker continues to chuck threes at that rate, he should be flirting with a 30-piece in every game this series.
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