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The Cincinnati Reds (41-45) and New York Yankees (54-34) meet Thursday afternoon to close out a 3-game interleague series in the Bronx. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-0
Cincinnati heads into Thursday looking for a 3-game sweep. The Reds have prevailed in a pair of 1-run games Tuesday (5-4) and Wednesday (3-2). Cincy pitching has been sharp since last weekend; the club has yielded just 13 runs (12 earned) over its last 5 games.
Close games have not been kind to the Yankees, who are now just 3-10 over their last 13 games. New York is 10-11 in 1-run games and 1-5 in extra-inning affairs.
Reds at Yankees projected starters
RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Marcus Stroman
Montas (3-6, 4.23 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 1-0 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Friday
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-1, 1.29 ERA (14 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 5 BB, 14 K in 2 starts
Stroman (7-3, 3.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 18th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 95 2.3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 16-5 win at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
- Career vs. Reds: 4-2, 3.76 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 32 H, 11 BB, 35 K in 7 starts
- Has walked 4.8 batters per 9 IP while clocking a 5.13 ERA over his last 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Stroman’s overall season line is propped up by a .250 batting average on balls in play, and he has not been in good form of late. Meanwhile former Yankees pitcher Montas has yielded just 4 runs over his last 18 road frames.
Cincy prevails in the battle of the bullpens, and the visiting 9 has the momentum in this series.
BACK THE REDS (+145).
Run line/Against the spread
Better relative value can be had hunting the plus money on the ML. PASS.
Over/Under
Wednesday’s game broke a string of 7 straight Yankees games cashing on the Over. The overall pitching lean for this finale is a fade one.
On a warmed-up afternoon at Yankee Stadium (and with a decent chance of a riding wind blowing to left field, BACK THE OVER 9 (-105).
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