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The Cincinnati Reds (40-45) and New York Yankees (54-33) meet Wednesday for the middle contest of a 3-game interleague set in the Bronx. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 1-0
Cincinnati won the series opener 5-4 as a +186 underdog with the Over 8.5 cashing. The Reds powered their way to a 5-0 lead after 4½ innings and then hung on for the 1-run victory. SS Elly De La Cruz and RF Will Benson went yard as the Reds hit 2 homers in a game for the 1st time since June 22.
With the loss, the Yankees continued a slide that has been underway for more than a couple weeks. Since June 15, New York is just 4-11. Yankees pitching owns a 6.85 ERA over that span.
Reds at Yankees projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Abbott (7-6, 3.41 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 89 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 6 BB, 2 K in 11-4 victory at St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
- Has never faced Yankees
- Has walked 14 batters in last 20 2/3 IP
Rodon (9-5, 4.42 ERA) is making his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-2 setback at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
- Career vs. Reds: 2-1, 2.76 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 9 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
- Has yielded a 1.253 OPS while posting a 13.17 ERA over his last 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Red +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red +1.5 (-137) | Yankees -1.5 (+114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Reds at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Reds 4
Moneyline
New York struggled against left-handers early in the season, but the Yankee offense has come around to be more productive against southpaws over the last month-plus.
Abbott is a lefty whose surface numbers are buoyed by a low batting average on balls in play. For the season, he’s yielded a .238 BABIP overall. That included a .136 BABIP in inning lead-off situations and a .231 mark with runners in scoring position.
The Yanks (-178) are worthy of being significant favorites in this one. PASS on the ML and look to get the home nine by with a multi-run cushion.
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Run line/Against the spread
In 4 Reds-Yankees meetings the last 2 seasons, New York has gone 3-1. All 3 wins were by 3-run cushions.
Abbott is in the fade column for this one, but Rodon is worthy of a green check mark. He’s been beaten up by a high BABIP over recent starts. Other skill indicators have actually been improving on what he did in April-May when he clocked a 3.09 ERA through his 1st 67 innings.
New York has registered a lot of convincing home wins against sub-.500 clubs.
TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (+114).
Over/Under
The lean here is against Abbott and likely the Yankees bullpen as well. New York clocked a 5.10 bullpen ERA in June. Cincy’s offense has been somewhat undone by a .282 BABIP; more can be expected from Reds as the summer rolls forward.
Tuesday’s lid-lifter tipped into the Over with some late life from the home side. Seven straight Yankees games have cashed on the Over.
BACK OVER 8.5 (-110).
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