The Cincinnati Reds (44-63) and New York Mets (70-39) lift the lid on a 3-game series at Citi Field Monday. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 2-1
The Reds are continuing a wonky road trip that has already included stops at the Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers and which will have the club heading to Dyersville, Iowa, for a “home game” against the Chicago Cubs at Field of Dreams after Cincy and New York play 3 from Monday to Wednesday.
The Mets have won 3 straight games and are 12-2 over their last 14. New York has batted a robust .312/.379/.513 (.892 OPS) along that 14-game span.
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Reds at Mets projected starters
RHP Justin Dunn vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Dunn is expected to be recalled from Triple-A Louisville for this start, his first of the season in MLB.
- Combined 6.75 ERA with a 1.82 WHIP (including 17 BB) through 28 IP between Class-A Dayton (1 start) and Triple-A Louisville (7 starts) this season after being activated in June following recovery from shoulder surgery.
- Only pitched beyond the 4th inning in 2 of those starts.
- Career 3.94 ERA across 25 starts for the Seattle Mariners from 2019-2021.
Bassitt (8-7, 3.61 ERA) is making his 21st start of the season. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 122 IP.
- Coming off 7-scoreless innings Wednesday at the Washington Nationals in his last start.
- Owns a 2.96 ERA over his last 7 starts.
- Owns a 2.14 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last 5 starts at Citi Field. For the season, has logged a 4.24 ERA on the road and a 3.06 figure at home.
Reds at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Mets -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +2.5 (-117) | Mets -2.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Reds at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Reds 3
Money line
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Run line/Against the spread
It’s a partial-unit play, but the REDS +2.5 (-117) has some slight value.
Cincinnati went 12-24 over its first 36 road games but it’s 8-7 in its last 15.
Over/Under
Both offenses are too far out over their skis with batting numbers a bit too bloated when compared to support indicators. Bassitt and bullpen upside for New York are complementary factors.
TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (+110).
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