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The Cincinnati Reds (73-77) and the Minnesota Twins (78-70) wrap up a 3-game interleague series on Sunday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Reds vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-0
The Reds picked up an 11-1 win in Saturday’s game, and Cincinnati has outscored Minnesota 19-5 in the 1st 3 games of this interleague set. The Over has cashed in each of the games, with both outings having a total set at 8.5 runs.
Despite the solid play, Cincinnati’s playoff hopes are all but dashed, even if it is still alive for a postseason berth. The Reds are 5-2 in the past 7 games, and 9-4 in the month of September. Despite the 2 Over results in this series, the Under is 6-2 in the past 8 outings, and 9-4 in the past 13 contests.
For Minnesota, it is still in good shape for a postseason spot, but it remains in 3rd place in the AL Central. The Twins are 2-6 in the past 8 outings, while going 4-8 in the past 12 outings at Target Field. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row.
In interleague play, Cincinnati has won 6 in a row, while the Over is 9-3-1 in the previous 13 contests against AL teams. Minnesota has dropped 5 in a row against NL teams, while the Over is 4-1 in that span.
Reds at Twins projected starters
RHP Rhett Lowder vs. RHP David Festa
Lowder (1-1, 0.59 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 15 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-0 road victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday in only career road start
- 2024 interleague career splits: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1-0 home victory vs. Houston Astros Sept. 5 in only start vs. AL
- Has never faced Twins
Festa (2-6, 5.08 ERA) makes his 11th career start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home loss vs. Los Angeles Angels last Monday
- 2024 home splits: 0-4, 6.15 ERA, 26 1/3 IP, 18 ER, 7 HR, 1.37 WHIP, .243 OBA, 11 BB, 32 K in 6 appearances (5 starts)
- Last 7 games: 1-4, 3.94 ERA, 32 IP, 14 ER, 12 BB, 41 K, 1.16 WHIP
- Has never faced Reds
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Twins 2
Moneyline
The REDS (+140) are a solid play as moderate underdogs behind the rookie Lowder. He hasn’t been allowing much, and Cincinnati is playing hard down the stretch.
For the Twins (-165), they’re skidding hard, and not exactly finishing on a high note as they get ready for what they hope is a postseason berth. Thwe rookie Festa has been a disaster, posting a 5.08 ERA in 11 starts and 12 appearances, and he is even worse at home, posting a 6.15 ERA while dropping 4 straight decisions.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little on the conservative side, and can’t play the REDS +1.5 (-155) straight up for the sweep, they’re not priced out of line if you need a little insurance.
While playing Cincinnati straight up is a much better value, it is 6-1 in the past 7 games as an underdog, while winning 5 of those games outright.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (+100) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit at best.
The Over has cashed in each of the 2 games in this series, but the Under is 6-2 in the past 8 outings for the Reds. The Under has cashed in 6 of the past 8 road contests, too.
For the Twins, the Over is 4-0 in the past 4 outings, so be careful. In interleague play, Minnesota has split the Over-Under 4-4 in the past 8 tries.
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